📉 General trend and market volatility
Bitcoin recovered above the level of 104,000–106,000 dollars after a sharp decline due to recent tensions in the Middle East. Technically, it returned to an upward correction channel and may test 112,500 dollars, with support around 100,000 dollars; breaking below 89,500 dollars could lead to a decline towards 82,600 dollars.
Despite the geopolitical escalation, Bitcoin does not show as a safe-haven asset; it has been affected by global risks and has dropped about 5% since June 13.
🪙 Ethereum & Altcoins
Ethereum rose to about 2,440 dollars, after a strong rebound from below 2,150 dollars, facing resistances in the range of 2,620 dollars and psychologically supported at the level of 2,026 dollars.
TON, APT, LINK, UNI, AVAX, DOGE, PEPE are recording notable increases between 5–11% over 24 hours.
🏦 Institutional and regulatory activities
The flow of institutional investors into cryptocurrency-linked exchange-traded funds has exceeded 15 billion dollars since the beginning of the year.
In the United States, bold legislation continues to chase stablecoins, such as the 'GENIUS Act' project aimed at regulating them as payment sources rather than financial assets; however, some voices consider it insufficient to manage risks.
In mid-March, the Trump administration issued an executive order to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve and eliminate disclosure requirements, separating issues against Coinbase and Binance under its supervision.
🔮 Forecasts and Summary
Bitcoin: Mixed Outlook – Resistance between 105–112 thousand, critical support around 100 thousand. Stronger scenario: Continued rise, but temporary halt on any geopolitical escalation or Federal change.
Altcoins: Experiencing emerging increases, indicating a return of liquidity for short gains.
Institutional investment and legislation form a supportive pillar for the market, but regulatory tightening and geopolitical threats could reverse this momentum.
✅ Tips for Traders
Monitor support levels (100 thousand Bitcoin, 2,026 dollars for Ethereum) and higher resistance areas (112 thousand, 2,620 dollars).
Set a stop loss at breaking critical support: 99,200 dollars for Bitcoin.
Invest selectively and cautiously in Altcoins driven by sideways movement and institutional liquidity.
