Brothers, this week the Fed sent another heavy signal! The latest CME 'Fed Watch' data just released shows that the probability of a 25 basis point cut in July is only 20.7%, while the chance of holding steady is as high as 79.3%! As soon as this number came out, the market's direction became subtly different. Even more explosive, Fed heavyweight Goolsbee suddenly stated: 'If the trade policy impacts disappear, we should continue to cut rates!' There’s more to this statement! The crypto tycoon will guide you through the fog and reveal the big opportunities behind it!
Is the 'wolf' of rate cuts coming? The Fed is playing a psychological game!
Don’t be fooled by the 20% probability of a rate cut in July; Goolsbee's statement is the real deep-water bomb! He superficially mentions 'trade policy', but is actually hinting that as long as economic data remains stable, a rate cut could strike back at any moment! The Fed is like holding a lighter, with sparks already flying, just waiting for the day when 'click' ignites the market! Crypto veterans understand: rate cuts = dollar becomes 'cheap' = hot money flows into Bitcoin! Right now, this 20% probability is the 'bait' hanging in the air, and big funds are secretly positioning themselves!
Is BTC as stable as a mountain? Behind it, whales are 'pressing down'!
Although the probability of no rate cut in July is nearly 80%, Bitcoin surprisingly did not crash in the past two days, but instead repeatedly tested key support levels. What does this indicate? Institutional whales have long understood the Fed's tactics! They are clear: rate cuts may be delayed but will inevitably come, and the real 'easing moment' is in the third and fourth quarters! Now, while the market hesitates, it is the perfect time to accumulate at low levels. On-chain data has shown that in the past week, BTC has continuously flowed out of exchanges, and large wallets are hoarding coins! This momentum clearly indicates the calm before the storm!$BTC
Ambush these sectors, and when the wave of interest rate cuts comes, they will soar directly!
Want to catch the next wave of Federal Reserve easing benefits? These three directions must be positioned in advance:
Bitcoin spot ETF related targets: Once the ETFs of giants like BlackRock and Fidelity encounter interest rate cuts, buying will surge like a flood, and BTC hitting $100,000 is not a dream! High-beta altcoins: SOL, ETH, these 'vanguards' are most sensitive to capital, and once the dollar is loosened, they will rise faster than rockets!
RWA (Real World Assets) track: During the easing cycle, on-chain US Treasuries and gold tokens will become 'hot commodities'. Top players like Ondo and MKR should be ambushed with closed eyes!
Tycoon's advice: Should we bottom fish now or wait and see?
In the short term, the 79% probability of no rate cut in July may cause the market to 'play dead', but don’t let it shake you out!
Focus on two explosive points:
August Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting (the Fed's signaling ground);
September Interest Rate Decision (the probability of rate cuts jumps to over 60%);
The strategy is simple: buy the dips in batches, keep enough bullets for the Fed's 'starting gun'! Remember, in the crypto world, pessimists are right, and optimists make money!
The market changes rapidly, but the Fed's policy shift has become a foregone conclusion. Now, every pullback is a 'golden pit' blessed by heaven! Pay attention to the tycoon, who will dissect the Fed's confidential communication in real-time to help you accurately identify the next bull market engine! Want to delve deep into the crypto world but can't find direction? Want to quickly master the information gap? Click to follow and join the group! Real-time sharing of first-hand information and in-depth analysis, precise tips on buying and selling points, grasping the latest developments in the crypto world!