The game at Dog Village is all about expectation discrepancies: Right now, there’s speculation that there will be an interest rate cut in July, and before that, there will definitely be a wave of market hype; if there is no cut in July, the market will be heavily sold off, and then the September rate cut will be hyped as a certainty.
The market is likely to follow this path:
Before the July rate cut: Use the expectations to push the market up, attracting retail investors to chase high
After the July rate cut: If there is no cut, the market will be directly sold off, causing contract explosions
August: Gradually rise to set up the next round of expectations
September: After announcing the rate cut, rally for a month, creating a bull market illusion
By early October, large funds will quietly withdraw, and new retail investors will enter to take over, only to be stuck for four years!