$BTC

The price of Bitcoin is now determined by derivatives, not by on-chain activity.

The Bitcoin market is undergoing a significant transformation in its mechanics:

Most trading is now happening off-chain.

📊 Key Overview:

The volume of spot, futures, and options trading on centralized exchanges is now between 7 to 16 times what is actually traded on the Bitcoin network.

💡 The Importance of This:

Price discovery is increasingly reliant on derivative markets, not on organic on-chain transactions. This means:

* Volatility can be exacerbated by leveraged positions.

* On-chain data alone is no longer a reliable indicator of short-term price movements.

* Whale behavior in futures/options has become more influential than ever.

The market structure has evolved, and understanding these shifts is crucial for traders and analysts navigating this cycle.