Toncoin (TON) remains one of the most vibrant and fast-evolving ecosystems in crypto, fueled by its deep integration with Telegram, rising TVL, and growing institutional interest. As it hovers near key resistance, the market is watching closely: will TON reclaim momentum and break above $3, or slide into deeper retracement?
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๐ Current Market Snapshot
๐ June 23, 2025 (12:56 PM CET โ CoinGecko)
Price: 2.73 USDT
Weekly change: -4%
Monthly change: +6%
Market Cap: $6.74B
24h Volume: $234M
TVL: $329M (DeFiLlama)
3-Month POC: 2.55 USDT
Despite broader macro uncertainty โ from global geopolitical risks (Ukraine, Taiwan) to the upcoming U.S. elections โ TON continues to show resilience, bolstered by strong community support and TVL growth across dApps.
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๐ Technical Overview
Indicators
RSI: 49 โ Neutral, room for movement
MACD: Bearish crossover, stabilizing
ADX: 18 โ Weak trend, suggesting consolidation
ATR: 0.14 โ Moderate volatility
Funding Rate: +0.01% to +0.03% โ Slight bullish lean
Price Action
Over the past 3 months, TON has ranged between 2.10 and 3.15 USDT, with its all-time high at 3.34 USDT (April 2025). A breakout above 2.80 on June 11 was short-lived, forming a bull trap as it failed to hold weekly highs.
Daily chart: Price moving within a horizontal channel (2.40 โ 3.15)
Volume: Clustered around 2.55 USDT โ a key area to watch
4H chart: Potential reversal setups (double bottom, inverse H&S) are emerging but unconfirmed
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๐ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Notes
Support 2.55 USDT Point of Control (POC), key short-term base
Support 2.40 USDT Range bottom, tested multiple times
Support 2.10 USDT Long-term structure
Resistance 2.80 USDT Daily resistance, key breakout level
Resistance 3.00 USDT Psychological/historical resistance
Resistance 3.15 USDT May 2025 high
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๐ง Possible Scenarios
๐ข Bullish Setup
Trigger: Daily close above 2.80 USDT
Conditions: Above-average volume + RSI > 55
Targets:
Short: 3.00 USDT
Medium: 3.15 USDT
Extension: 3.30โ3.50 USDT if breakout holds
๐ด Bearish Setup
Trigger: Break below 2.40 USDT
Targets:
2.20 USDT
2.10 USDT
1.90 USDT in risk-off environment
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๐ Outlook & Sentiment
TON appears to be consolidating between 2.40 and 2.80 USDT, with a slightly bullish bias as long as 2.55 USDT holds. On-chain signals and rising community engagement โ particularly through Telegram and traffic to TON.org โ support the idea of a quiet accumulation phase.
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โ Conclusion
The Open Network is standing at a pivotal level. Strong technical structure, increasing TVL, and unmatched Telegram integration position TON as a unique layer-1 player. A clear close above 2.80 USDT could ignite a new leg upward โ but a drop below 2.40 would invalidate this setup and signal further downside risk.
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๐ Actionable Tips
Avoid entering trades near major levels without confirmation
Set stop-losses just outside 2.40/2.80 based on your position
Watch volumes and TON/Telegram ecosystem news closely
Monitor TVL trends as a key signal of long-term adoption
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