Emergency Warning: U.S. Prices Set to Explode! Can Your Bitcoin Withstand the 'Dream Shattered Knife' of Rate Cuts?
Inflation storm, just one step away!
The current U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is 3.3%? Experts have already begun to warn: this summer, inflation may break through the 4% mark! It’s like a runaway bull that can't stop, and behind it lies two knives:
1. The First Knife: Tariff Assault!
The 'time bomb' planted by Trump is about to detonate: the tariff protection period for $300 billion worth of Chinese imports is ending, and the trade war could restart at any time;
The outcome we both understand: imported goods will collectively rise in price, from shoes and clothing to smartphones, cost burdens once again transferred to consumers!
2. The Second Knife: Middle East Flames!
The expansion of conflict in the Middle East is bringing the war to the doorstep of crude oil, with oil prices soaring to $130/barrel.
For every $10 increase in oil prices, the CPI surges by 0.4%!
The summer travel peak coinciding with energy supply disruptions means gasoline prices could 'rocket into the sky' at any moment!
The Federal Reserve's 'Difficult Triple Bind'
The current situation presents the Federal Reserve with an unprecedented three-way dilemma:
Control Inflation? → Raise interest rates or refrain from lowering them for a long time
Protect the Economy? → Afraid to burst the bubble
Election Year Hedging? → Fear of affecting election outcomes
But reality is more brutal than the script: the market has already begun to panic-price—
The expected three rate cuts in 2024 have plummeted to just 1.25
The first rate cut may be delayed until the end of the year or even 2025
Treasury yields are beginning to invert, and consumer spending power is collapsing!
In a nutshell: the hope for liquidity and survival may not last until summer.
Cryptocurrency Market Earthquake Warning: Rate Cut Delays = Bull Market's 'Blood Loss Crisis'
Please recall 2018:
Trade war erupts, oil prices soar, U.S. stocks flash crash
Bitcoin fell by over 80% throughout the year!
This time, will the script replay?
When the systemic risks of traditional assets erupt, BTC is bound to face pressure in the short term
If the Federal Reserve does not inject liquidity, the 'liquidity bull' loses its fuel for pushing upward
Panic emotions will lead to market stampedes, can your bottom-buying positions withstand this?
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