(Entered the industry at 21 years old, assets exceeded 8 digits from 2023-2024, practical review living in hotels over 2000+)

I. Core Understanding of Short-term Trading: Mindset > Skill

  • Counter-intuitive operations are key: short-term trading in the crypto world is not about technical indicators, but about who can maintain discipline during surges and drops. I have seen too many technical experts die from greed but survive with 'dumb methods' - not getting carried away when earning and not gambling when losing.

  • Iron Rule to Stay Away from Obscure Coins: Only trade the two mainstream coins, BTC and ETH, which have sufficient liquidity and are not easily manipulated. Altcoins may seem highly volatile, but the operators are ruthless; out of 10 profits, one may zero out.

II. The Time Code for Short-term Trading (Accurate to the Hour)

1. 12 AM - 1 AM: Pinning arbitrage time window

  • In the domestic late-night trading of Europe and America, trading is light, making it easy to have 'pinning market conditions' (sudden surges or drops). Pre-sleep order setting skills:
    ✅ SetBuy orders 5%-8% lower than the current price(Betting on a sudden drop)
    ✅ SetSell orders 3%-5% higher than the current price(Betting on a spike and pullback)

  • Case: When BTC was at 100,000 USD, I once set a buy order at 95,000 using this method, triggered at 1 AM, and the same day it rebounded to 102,000 for a profit of 7%.

2. 6 AM - 8 AM: Intra-day Trend Judgment Method

  • Observe the trend of the previous 6 hours (12 AM - 6 AM) + the current period (6 AM - 8 AM):
    ▶ If it continues to decline → Decisively buy the dip / add positions (80% probability of intra-day rebound)
    ▶ If it continues to rise → Immediately take profit and exit (high probability of intra-day pullback)

  • Logic: The capital game ends in the early morning, and the main force starts to set the tone in the morning, with strong trend continuity.

3. 5 PM: US Market Launch Surge Point

  • Corresponding to the opening time in Eastern Standard Time, institutional capital enters the market actively, making it easy to amplify fluctuations. This has occurred many times in history:
    ⚠️ BTC suddenly dropped by over 5% at 5 PM (main force selling off futures contracts)
    ⚠️ ETH surged suddenly due to good news at 5 PM (linked to US stock market capital)

  • Countermeasure: Monitor the market 10 minutes in advance, set stop-loss and take-profit orders, do not gamble on direction but follow signals.

III. The Lifeline of Capital Management (90% of liquidators die from chaotic positions)

  1. Fixed Position Rule: Each trade should not exceed 10% of the capital; with 1 million capital, the maximum for a single trade is 100,000, and never increase positions just because the market is good.

  2. USDT Reverse Operation:

    • Seeing USDT premium (U price rise) → Immediately reduce BTC positions, as capital is fleeing cryptocurrency

    • When BTC surges → Exchange USDT in batches (lock in profits, wait for a pullback)

  3. Batch Averaging Strategy:

    • If the coin price drops by 10%, add 1 layer of position; if it drops by 20%, add 2 layers, with a maximum of 5 layers.

    • Case: When Dogecoin dropped from 0.1 to 0.08, I added to my position, and when it dropped to 0.06, I added again, raising the average price to 0.08, profiting 50% when it rebounded to 0.12.

IV. Three 'Danger Signals' That Must Be Watched in Short-term Trading

  1. Good news landing = Selling out:

    • When a coin announces 'listing on a major exchange' or 'cooperating with a major institution,' if you don’t sell out that night, it will definitely drop the next day (the main force takes advantage of good news to sell out).

  2. The Trap of Black Friday:

    • Panic selling often occurs on Friday afternoons, but don’t blindly follow the drop - if BTC holds support after 5 PM, it may actually be a buying opportunity (after weekend capital risk aversion, it often rebounds on Monday).

  3. Trading Volume Scam:

    • Top volume ≠ further increase, it may be the main force inducing buying; sustained volume at the bottom is the real opportunity (capital is genuinely entering the market).

V. My Comeback Case: Key Operations from 50,000 to 23.98 million

  • June 2023: BTC dropped from 60,000 to 48,000. During the continuous decline from 6 PM to 8 PM, I bought in batches with a capital of 30,000 and sold everything when it rebounded to 65,000, making a profit of 35%;

  • March 2024: One month before the ETH merger, I noticed that USDT was continuously depreciating (capital flowing into cryptocurrency), heavily invested in ETH from 2000 to 4800, with a single wave profit of 140%;

  • Core Logic: Do not chase trends, do not gamble on leverage, only capture the certainty of mainstream coins' waves, making only 10-15 trades a year with a win rate of over 70%.

VI. Risk Warning (Must Read!)

  • I was able to grow from 50,000 to 23.98 million, which is the triple combination of market cycles + strategy + luck, and does not mean 'trading coins is a sure win';

  • Short-term trading is energy-consuming and high-risk; 90% of people will lose money, so it is recommended to use funds that do not affect your life to participate;

  • Now I stay in high-end hotels, but I will always remember the feeling of being 500,000 in debt during the 312 black swan event - respect the market to survive long and earn long.


(The above is only a personal experience sharing and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries extremely high risks; please make rational decisions.)

#Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $BNB