Market Analysis of BTC: Key Events and Trends

Current Situation

Bitcoin is trading around $101,423 after testing $100,000. The price fluctuated between $98,115 and $102,777 over the last 24 hours.

Key Influencing Factors

1. **Geopolitics**

* The US conducted airstrikes on Iran, causing a temporary drop below $100,000.

* Houthis resumed attacks on American ships.

2. **Economy**

* A decrease in the Fed rate is expected in July 2025.

* The growth rate of M2 has changed from negative to positive.

Technical Analysis

* BTC is in a “decoupling window,” similar to February 2025. * A “golden cross” has been confirmed. * The support level of $97,000 is important (1.6 million addresses bought 1.14 million BTC). * A breakout at $108,000 could lead to a rise to $133,000.

Forecast

* Short-term: high volatility due to geopolitics. * Mid-term: recovery with improved liquidity. * Long-term: Q4 could be key for growth with the easing of monetary policy.

💡 **Advice**: use stop-losses and limit orders due to volatility.

The information is not investment advice.