牛霸天
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An interesting thought: to begin with the conclusion, the least trustworthy source in investment matters is mass media. The more mainstream, the less credible.
It's not that there is something inherently wrong with them. Their problem lies in being too "mainstream". Investment, on the other hand, is precisely about going against the "mainstream".
This can be strictly proven through mathematics.
If the "mainstream"—everyone makes several times their money—then it is equivalent to everyone not making any money. This is an obvious common sense.
From this, we can infer that if you want to "earn" money in the true sense, it necessarily means that the mass must be substantially "losing" money. If the nominal money supply is increasing, then on the surface, it may appear that the mass is making small gains while you are making large gains, meaning your share of the money is increasing while that of the mass is decreasing.
Therefore, this is merely a definitional issue. The essence of investment profit is defined as—outperforming the mass.
The mass cannot outperform the mass. This is an ironclad logic, as unbreakable as 1+1=2.
The direction the mass is heading towards is inevitably a direction that cannot be profitable.
To outperform the mass, you simply need to go against the mass.
But you are also a part of the mass, so how can you accurately predict the direction the mass is heading towards?
Thus, mass media becomes an excellent guide.
It's not that there is something inherently wrong with them. Their problem lies in being too "mainstream". Investment, on the other hand, is precisely about going against the "mainstream".
This can be strictly proven through mathematics.
If the "mainstream"—everyone makes several times their money—then it is equivalent to everyone not making any money. This is an obvious common sense.
From this, we can infer that if you want to "earn" money in the true sense, it necessarily means that the mass must be substantially "losing" money. If the nominal money supply is increasing, then on the surface, it may appear that the mass is making small gains while you are making large gains, meaning your share of the money is increasing while that of the mass is decreasing.
Therefore, this is merely a definitional issue. The essence of investment profit is defined as—outperforming the mass.
The mass cannot outperform the mass. This is an ironclad logic, as unbreakable as 1+1=2.
The direction the mass is heading towards is inevitably a direction that cannot be profitable.
To outperform the mass, you simply need to go against the mass.
But you are also a part of the mass, so how can you accurately predict the direction the mass is heading towards?
Thus, mass media becomes an excellent guide.
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