BNB is gathering strength in the suffocating narrow gap of the Bollinger Bands, the next moment will either be a rocket or a waterfall, and the news powder keg is already full.

News front: Positive news is piling up but the market is still 'playing dead'

  1. Regulatory negative news has run its course: In early June, the SEC lawsuit in the U.S. reached a settlement, Binance successfully 'de-risked', and institutional buying barriers have been cleared.

  2. Technical upgrade countdown: The Pascal hard fork of BNB Chain is about to launch, with 100,000 TPS + ultra-low Gas fees of $0.00005 potentially igniting ecological traffic, directly boosting BNB demand.

  3. Deflationary weapon: It is expected that another 1.8 million BNB will be burned by 2025, with circulation dropping below 130 million, maximizing scarcity.

  4. Thousand-dollar consensus: Institutions like Bloomberg and Messari are all calling for a target price of $1,292 in 2025, with retail FOMO sentiment bubbling under.

Technical aspect: Narrow fluctuations to 'abnormal', a trend change is imminent

Bollinger Band strangulation: The Bollinger Band width on the 4-hour chart is only $1.66 with the upper band at 623.46 ↔ lower band at 621.80, price is trapped near the mid-band at 623 and cannot move - this is the most extreme contraction in the past six months; historically, a big directional move is inevitable within 3 days!

MACD boiling frog: Golden cross but the bar height is only 0.07, the bulls are as weak as a 'paper tiger'; if the price breaks below the lower band, it may quickly turn into a death cross.

Liquidation ambush zone: Derivative market 'explosion' signals target the 621.8-623.5 range; once broken, it will trigger a chain of liquidations accelerating the market.

Key price level:

Bullish defense line: 621.8 Bollinger lower band - if lost, watch the psychological level of 600

Bearish coffin board: 623.5 Bollinger upper band - after breaking through, the target directly points to 660-674 previous highs

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