Want to master short-term trading with technical analysis? Don’t be fooled by those flashy indicators. Experienced traders know — the simplest things are the most lethal.

1. First, look at the overall trend: Bulls and bears don’t recognize, you’ll die quickly.

Core: The trend is your father, don’t go against it.

  1. Moving Average (MA) — The dividing line between bullish and bearish.

    • 50-day moving average: Short-term trend indicator, if the price is above it, it’s a strong player; if it falls below, it’s a dead fish.

    • 200-day moving average: The line of life and death for bulls and bears; if it breaks below 200 days, run quickly, don’t ask why.

    • Golden cross: 50-day moving above 200-day, go long with closed eyes, even if wrong, accept it.

    • Death cross: 50-day moving below 200-day, immediately short, don’t hesitate.

  2. Bollinger Bands — The cage for coin prices.

    • Upper band: The limit of a crazy rise, touching it easily leads to pullback.

    • Lower band: The bottom line after a severe drop, touching it easily leads to a rebound.

    • Strong move: If the coin price is sticking to the upper band, don’t chase it; wait for it to pull back to the middle band (for example, if ETH drops from 1800 to 1700), grab a short long; if it’s lying on the lower band acting dead, wait for it to bounce to the middle band (for example, if BNB bounces from 300 to 320), go short directly.

2. Find buying and selling points: Don’t be the grass, specifically cut the emotions.

Core: When others are fearful, be greedy; when others are greedy, run away.

  1. RSI indicator — The market sentiment thermometer.

    • Below 30: The coin has dropped like a dog, retail investors are crying (for example, if BTC drops to 22000, RSI=25), lightly buy the dip, get in and out quickly.

    • Above 70: The coin price skyrockets, and the group shouts 'Go all in' (for example, if ETH hits 2000, RSI=75), short it briefly to profit from a pullback.

    • Killer move: Divergence

      • New price high, but RSI doesn’t reach a new high → The big players are unloading, hurry and run.

      • New price low, but RSI doesn’t reach a new low → The market makers are washing out, prepare to buy.

  2. Trading volume — Are they faking it or really going for it?

    • Volume surge: Real money driving the price up, hold on and don’t hesitate.

    • Volume crash: Big players dumping, don’t catch the falling knife.

    • Volume decline rebound: Fake rally, those who run slowly will get buried.

3. Iron rules (for survival)

  1. Set stop-loss well: The crypto market changes in a second, don’t fall in love with your position.

  2. Don't touch low-quality coins: Play only with major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum which have liquidity; altcoins will teach you a lesson in no time.

  3. Emotional management: FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) are the two main causes of death; follow the rules, don’t get carried away.

Remember: Technical analysis is not a crystal ball, it helps you die more clearly.

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