Under the influence of the major attack on Iran over the weekend, this week’s opening also showed a significant jump, which we have emphasized repeatedly. The market opened high but fell back during the morning, unable to hold its gains; even if it doesn’t decline, the most it can do is fluctuate, making it difficult to continue its upward trend directly.

　　On the weekly chart, only a large bearish candlestick was formed last week, and the subsequent decline is basically a washing-out phase, moving sideways while washing out, and trending downwards. Although we still define the current downturn as a downward adjustment, without a strong rebound and the appearance of a large bullish candlestick, we cannot see a turning point in the downward adjustment. The escalation of conflicts over the weekend has raised our hopes, but the morning's wave has basically released the impact of the news, lacking continuity, which means the downward adjustment is not yet complete. From a short-term perspective, the impact of the weekend news is another wave, essentially going back to where it started, returning to Friday's state. The rebound on Friday was also influenced by the remarks of Federal Reserve Governor Muller, who suggested that the Fed should cut interest rates in July, which boosted market expectations for a rate cut and subsequently raised prices. This is a short-term market sentiment-driven price increase, but currently, the month most likely for a rate cut remains September, with July having a low probability of a rate cut. Muller's remarks only caused a short-term impact on market prices. The afternoon strategy can continue as is. Friends who haven't joined yet can gradually get on board and patiently wait for the market to unfold.

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