🌀🌀 Today's crypto market is changing dramatically; Bitcoin has plunged like a waterfall, forcefully breaking through the key psychological level of $100,000. Market panic is spreading, and the number of liquidation orders is surging. Faced with severe volatility, how should we interpret signals and protect assets? This risk-avoidance guide is the armor you need!
🔍 Was the big drop foreseen? Here’s how to look at key indicators.
1. Technical Warning: Pay attention to MACD's high-level death cross, RSI continuously overbought (e.g., >70) and then turning downward, as well as key support levels (like the $100,000 mark) being broken through with increasing volume, which are often leading signals of trend reversal.
2. On-chain Anomaly Tracking: A sudden surge in net inflow to exchanges may indicate selling pressure; abnormal transfers from whale addresses require high vigilance.
3. Emotion and Policy Trends: Sudden negative news from regulations, significant sell-off by institutions, and extreme levels of the market greed index (such as the Fear & Greed Index) are all dangerous red flags.
🛡️ Newbie Survival Rule: Protecting the principal is the primary task.
1. Fund Allocation Management: Strictly divide total funds into 10 parts, only using the first part (1/10) to tentatively establish a base position, rejecting an all-in gambling mentality.
2. Laddered Averaging Strategy: If the price continues to decline, you can gradually average down at key support levels (such as $100,000, $95,000) with subsequent shares to reduce costs, but you must preset the maximum number of averaging down.
3. Stop-loss is a life-saving measure: Whether in spot trading or contracts, if the direction is wrong, strict stop-loss must be enforced! It is recommended to set a single loss not exceeding 2%-5% of the principal, and never "hold on" to losing positions.
4. Leverage is a double-edged sword: It is strongly recommended to keep leverage within 2-3 times, which can amplify profit potential while effectively resisting market volatility. Stay away from 125x "gambling leverage"; a single severe shock is enough to zero out your account!
🔅 Old hands in the crypto world say: "You must survive to see a bull market; leveraged liquidation has no tomorrow." Data from a certain exchange in 2025 shows that the liquidation rate for high-leverage (over 20x) users exceeds 85%, while the survival rate for 3x leverage users is more than 5 times higher.
💎 Current Operation Suggestions
In times of market panic, it is even more important to stay calm. Those who have entered the market should review their positions and exit decisively if stop-loss levels are reached; those without positions can allocate a small amount (1/10 of funds) in 2-3 batches, focusing on the strength of support in the $95,000 - $100,000 region, and avoid blindly trying to catch the bottom.
There is no certainty in the cryptocurrency world, but discipline and risk control are the Noah's Ark to weather bull and bear markets. Remember: the market is always full of opportunities; what is lacking is the principal that remains in the market. Maintain awe, invest rationally, and you will welcome the rainbow after the storm!
🔅 Risk Control Maxim:
"Bull markets are born in pessimism, grow in skepticism, mature in optimism, and die in euphoria."
—— John Templeton
Volatility is the norm in the cryptocurrency world, while discipline is the moat for investors. Every market cleansing is a selection of true long-termists; your position management strategy determines whether you will be a witness or a survivor.
㊗️ Wishing all students abundant wealth!