#BTCbelow100k $BTC 📉 Current Situation
• Bitcoin has fallen about 4% today, trading around $99,600, with an intraday high of $103,400 and a low of $98,800.
• The massive sell-off (over $1 billion) was driven by tensions between the US and Iran, dragging down various risk assets, including BTC.
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🔍 Technical Analysis + Sentiment
• There are strong support tests at $100k, with a real risk of falling to $95k if that floor is lost.
• In the short term, price action rejects the zone of $105–106k, suggesting a bearish reversal.
• RSI neutral (~48), near the 50-day moving average (~$101,800) and 200-day (~$98,500).
• Sentiment remains cautious; the “Fear & Greed” index is in “Fear” mode (42), according to CoinCodex.
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🧭 Short-Term Outlook (1–2 weeks)
• Pivot + resistance: $100k to $103k. If it holds and breaks $105k, it could resume the rally.
• Downside risk: below $100k, watch as $95–98k becomes a target for a more intense correction.
• Today and tomorrow are decisive, with many options expiring on June 27 — this could create extra volatility.
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🚀 Medium to Long-Term Scenario
• Some analysts (CoinCodex, Changelly) forecast up to a 33% rise in 5–8 days, aiming for $130–136k. However, if it falls, it may need to “breathe” first.
• Institutions continue to invest: ETFs, large holders (“whales”), and even governments (e.g., the US forming a strategic BTC reserve) signal increasing adoption.