🔥🔥 Cryptocurrency Turbulence Survival Guide: Opportunities Amidst War and Capital Games
Current Market Decline Core Logic Breakdown:
The current market fluctuations are highly correlated with the Iran-Israel conflict. The Strait of Hormuz serves as a global oil transport route for 20%, and any blockade risk will directly push up oil prices. Although the United States has expressed its intention to prevent a closure, geopolitical uncertainties have led to risk-averse capital withdrawing from the cryptocurrency market. Coupled with expectations regarding Trump's tariff policies and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine situation, the market has entered a phase of intense volatility driven by news in the short term.
Where are the key signals for the bull market to start?
Experienced investors remember the retail wealth creation myth from the last bull market, but a market solely relying on retail investments is hard to sustain. The real turning points often come from two major signals:
The turning point of institutional capital entering the market; when institutions like Grayscale and BlackRock start to accumulate BTC in large quantities, it indicates that market pricing power is shifting towards professional players.
Federal Reserve policy shift; historical data shows that after the Federal Reserve begins a rate-cutting cycle, the cryptocurrency market often experiences a capital overflow effect within 6-12 months.
Key Point: This is not the era of universal gains in 2021. The market is undergoing a re-evaluation of value. If established projects lack fundamental support, they may be left behind, while high-quality projects with technological barriers will rise after the reshuffling.
Strategies for Ordinary Investors:
Short-term risk control: Stay away from high-leverage contracts. Mainstream coins can be gradually allocated at the BTC support level of 61,000 - 62,000, with positions not exceeding 30%.
Mid-term layout: Focus on two types of targets:
Leading decentralized finance projects, such as UNI, which have seen a rebound in DEX trading volume after the Cancun upgrade;
Cross-chain security protocols, such as GPS, where the demand for Web3 security is growing in tandem with institutional entry.
Avoidance Guide: Be wary of air coins with no substantial applications; the end of a bear market often results in over 50% of low-quality projects being eliminated.
Pricing patience for the market:
War will not last forever, and tariff games will eventually yield temporary results. The focus should now be on on-chain data changes, such as whether the USDT over-the-counter premium rebounds and whether large whale addresses are increasing their BTC holdings; these are more genuine capital votes than news.
If you are feeling lost and directionless due to the turbulent market caused by war, feel free to come and discuss with me!!!
