Discuss some gameplay.
Some are experiments of my own / some are sourced from observing TAG.
1. All-round scratch lottery flow. Distribute scratch cards based on your own capital amount. For example, if a wallet has 100 SOL, buy 1 SOL of every still-active CA seen across different channels. There are 100 chances. It relies on luck and liquidity. Doubling the principal. The stop-loss position may be a 50% fluctuation.
I think this gameplay is more suitable for beginners, as well as those in a state of confusion / being overwhelmed by the market DEGEN.
Some seasoned DEGENs may continue to add or heavily invest when the lottery flow is on a one-sided rise. Initially, it belongs to the lottery, later commonly referred to as 'understanding it', DEGEN -> ALPHA.
Investment: 100 SOL (50~100 chances, can be 10S, each bet 0.1S)
Win rate: Under experimentation (based on current experimental conclusions, approximately 40%)
Shooting range: 10K~100K
Expected multiplier: 5+
Stop-loss position: -50%
2. Big bets on small. Capitalize on the main upward trend of hot coins / chase single-sided rises. It relies heavily on personal judgment / calm decision-making / never getting greedy. For example, if a 300K market cap buys 20 SOL, earning 5 SOL, exit immediately. This gameplay is relatively easy to miss the 'big' opportunities, but wins in 'stability'.
This gameplay is suitable for calm traders with a certain amount of capital.
Investment: Based on market cap of the coin, buy 0.3%~1% of the market.
Win rate: 70%
Shooting range: Generally applicable.
Expected multiplier: 0.3
Stop-loss position: -30%
3. Big bets on big. I call this the rebirth of the rich unlimited explosion flow. Requires substantial capital support. It's for wealthy individuals' gambling. For instance, following a few ALPHA, always buying 1%, waiting for a critical hit. Just hitting one $fartcoin is enough to cover previous losses or even make a lot. No need for judgment, never stop-loss. This gameplay is suitable for bored wealthy people who want to participate in the market (I have friends who play this way, emptying multiple wallets, each wallet being my lifelong inheritance, but they firmly believe they will buy a new coin).
Investment: Fixed 1%+
Win rate: Unknown
Shooting range: Generally applicable.
Expected multiplier: 100+
Stop-loss position: /
4. Large market cap second wave. Mainly capitalizing on the second wave of the leading trend, heavily reliant on judgment of the market, liquidity, and hot narratives, having a sufficient database of retained wallet addresses, familiar with historical manipulation methods of suspected whales. Currently, those who support second-wave heavy positions are considered experts. Generally, these individuals can be assessed for their skill level once they take action; if they do, at least a doubling of returns can be expected, considered a smart big bet. This method, I believe, is quite taboo for loss-addition, easily confusing cycles. Selecting strong + timing + risk control is certainly the basis for second-wave profitability.
Investment: 0.2%~1%
Win rate: 65%
Shooting range: 2M+
Expected multiplier: 2+
Stop-loss position: -35%
5. (Can't come up with anything...)
In short, beginners must absolutely ensure good risk control.
Pay attention to discipline, block out noise, reduce emotions, focus on value.
Learn to combat FOMO, enhance understanding.
In fact, regardless of bull or bear markets, there are always opportunities on-chain.
Many times I feel.
The bull market is the peak period of losses for ordinary people, while the bear market is the real wealth redistribution period.
Survive to the next cycle, and you have already defeated 90% of the participants.
