In one of the most dangerous geopolitical developments of 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the execution of precise airstrikes targeting 3 nuclear reactors inside Iran (Fordow - Natanz - Isfahan), as part of an operation he described as "fully successful."
In response, Iran's retaliation came quickly through the launch of ballistic missiles at targets in Israel, with official statements confirming that "all options are on the table," escalating tensions in the Middle East and raising global fears of a full-scale war.
Summary of the event and its expected impact on the markets
With markets currently closed, eyes are on the opening sessions on Monday, where markets will begin to price this military escalation directly.
Potential scenarios at the opening:
Scenario 1: Widespread escalation and regional war
If Iran responds with a broad military response, such as targeting U.S. bases or closing the Strait of Hormuz, then:
Gold will surge strongly towards historic levels as a safe haven.
Oil may exceed $100 per barrel due to supply threats.
Global stocks will register a sharp collective decline.
The dollar may temporarily rise and then weaken as recession fears grow.
