The chart presents a probabilistic model of XRP's downward breakdown levels over the next 3–5 days:
Key levels and breakdown probabilities:
XRP Level Breakdown Probability
1.95 5 %
1.90 12 %
1.85 24 %
1.80 35 %
1.75 🔺 40 % (max.)
1.70 30 %
1.60 22 %
1.50 13 %
1.40 7 %
1.30 3 %
The zone $1.75–1.85 is the most vulnerable — if pressure continues, a breakdown is likely.
Below $1.70, the market will resist, and only in the case of an external shock (BTC crash, SEC news) does the scenario of $1.60–1.40 become realistic.
The level of $1.30 remains unlikely given the current market structure (<5 %).