The chart presents a probabilistic model of XRP's downward breakdown levels over the next 3–5 days:

Key levels and breakdown probabilities:

XRP Level Breakdown Probability

1.95 5 %

1.90 12 %

1.85 24 %

1.80 35 %

1.75 🔺 40 % (max.)

1.70 30 %

1.60 22 %

1.50 13 %

1.40 7 %

1.30 3 %

The zone $1.75–1.85 is the most vulnerable — if pressure continues, a breakdown is likely.

Below $1.70, the market will resist, and only in the case of an external shock (BTC crash, SEC news) does the scenario of $1.60–1.40 become realistic.

The level of $1.30 remains unlikely given the current market structure (<5 %).

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