YiniGocha
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Dollar forecast for summer–fall 2025 considering the Israel/Iran conflict
Dollar: a protective reflex and growth triggers
The summer and fall of 2025 are potentially a golden time for the dollar, but not because the U.S. economy will show wonders; it's all about the dollar's role as a safe haven in the turbulent sea of geopolitics.
1. The Israel/Iran conflict leads to stress, which in turn leads to dollar demand. Any large-scale conflict in the Middle East historically increases demand for the dollar. Why? Investors flee from risky assets (stocks, crypto, emerging markets), go into the dollar and Treasury securities.
The summer and fall of 2025 are potentially a golden time for the dollar, but not because the U.S. economy will show wonders; it's all about the dollar's role as a safe haven in the turbulent sea of geopolitics.
1. The Israel/Iran conflict leads to stress, which in turn leads to dollar demand. Any large-scale conflict in the Middle East historically increases demand for the dollar. Why? Investors flee from risky assets (stocks, crypto, emerging markets), go into the dollar and Treasury securities.
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