🚨 Bitcoin at a crossroads: Is 100 thousand the last line of defense or the beginning of the collapse?! 🔥
After an amazing upward journey at the beginning of 2025 that brought Bitcoin close to 110,000 USD, the market started to show a noticeable slowdown. Today, Bitcoin is trading around 103,000$, amidst fears of breaking the stronger psychological barrier at 100 thousand. Are we facing a healthy correction? Or is the market preparing for a major reversal?
📉 First: Technical Analysis
🔹 Critical levels:
Key support:
100,000 USD (an important psychological and technical level). Any clear break below it with a daily close could push the price towards:
97,500$
Then 94,000$
And perhaps 89,000$ as distant support.
Near resistance:
105,000 – 106,000 USD: The price tried to break through it multiple times but failed, making it a strong sell zone.
🔹 Technical indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Neutral state leaning towards decline (~48 points), meaning there is room for further decline before reaching oversold conditions.
MACD: Shows a negative crossover, confirming the beginning of a short or medium-term correction wave.
📊 Second: Time-Based Analysis
🔸 Short-term (1–2 weeks):
Volatility is likely to continue between 100K and 105K.
Breaking support means a rapid move to 97–95 thousand.
🔸 Medium-term (1–2 months):
If maintaining 100K, we may see a retest of 110K and 115K levels, especially with improved institutional liquidity.
However, breaking 94K could lead to a larger collapse that may extend to 85–88K.
🔸 Long-term (3–6 months):
The overall outlook remains positive, and Bitcoin may return to test levels of 125–140 thousand USD as we approach the second half of 2025, especially with increased demand from ETF funds.
🧠 Third: Fundamental Analysis
📌 Supporting factors for the rise:
Institutional Adoption: Increasing number of companies and investment funds entering the market.
Effective Bitcoin ETFs: Inject massive liquidity and open the door for traditional investors.
📌 Pressuring factors:
Tightening regulatory oversight: Especially in Europe and the United States.
Global geopolitical situation: Tensions are causing a temporary aversion to high-risk assets.
🧭 The optimal strategy for investors now:
Investor type Recommendation
Short-term Monitor 100K closely, and only enter after a break or rebound, do not open positions amidst the uncertainty.
Medium-term Use a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy with every drop towards 95–98K.
Long-term No need to worry, Bitcoin is still in a long-term upward trend, invest wisely and wait for the reward.
🏁 Summary:
Bitcoin is now in the "decisive zone". The current price (103,000$) is caught between a hammer and an anvil:
Holding above 100K could be a new launch towards new peaks in the coming months.
However, breaking below it could bring us back to the 2022 scenario, when the market lost confidence for a period.