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This small structure is doing okay, but it's the weekend..
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#BTC 最近这震荡确实很头痛,本来以为这条收敛三角的线有大概率不会去踩的,但是昨天一波诱多还是踩了。现在价格位于趋势线之下,首先102500这个位置很关键,但是依然有可能继续往下扎一下去到101500附近,0.886的反转跟4小时的看涨订单块再加上那条趋势线可能存在的支撑,重新收回103800大概率止跌,只要不破前低还是有概率去看一个新高的,但是如果继续下破前低那就可能去1.618的位置,那就是95 96附近了,这样走看前高就比较难了。
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新高应该快来了。
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说点我对于基本面的看法吧,上周伊以打架引发了原油暴涨,但是伊朗的产油量只占全球3%,封锁霍尔木兹海峡,那些个大国肯定坐不住,特朗普是最不希望油价涨起来的人,所以从中焦虑是肯定的。天下大乱时金价起飞?黄金目前高位盘整,看似离新高不远,可我的视角下,大A能冲上4000点我都不觉得黄金能涨多少,两边打的挺欢,可伊朗自带怂逼属性,只是为了找个台阶下罢了,一但这场闹剧结束,利好股市,那就是大奇迹日了。
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已经连续两根日k收线11万上方了,如果今天cpi之后依旧收稳,不多说了。
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$BTC 这位置要带好保护了,留意下方回撤103-104附近。
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