🔍 Technical analysis $BTC as of June 21

1. Price: $103,625 — slight recovery after previous decline (-2.28% over 24 hours).

2. Support: $102,345 (24h minimum) and $102,920.

3. Resistance: $104,018 – $104,384 (EMA(99) zone).

4. SMA / EMA:

The price is trading slightly above MA(7) and MA(25), indicating short-term support.

MA(99) is above the current price — the global downtrend has not yet been broken.

5. RSI(6): 70.17 — in the overbought zone ⚠️ → possible local pullback or consolidation.

6. Volume: Low trading volume — price movement lacks strong support from buyers.

📈 Forecast for today:

🔸 Scenario 1 (base case): The price may test the resistance zone $104,000–104,400, but without strong volume, a breakthrough is unlikely. A flat or slight pullback to $103,200–103,000 is expected.

🔸 Scenario 2 (alternative): If the market gains positive momentum (fundamental news / large purchase), a quick break above $104,400 is possible, with the potential to move towards $105,000.

✅ Advice for traders:

Do not rush to enter a position — RSI is already overheated.

Watch the volume and confirmation of level breaks.

More suitable for scalping within $103,000–104,000.

🔔 Don't forget about stop-losses and manage risks!