Countdown to the Fed Data Explosion: Will $ETH Break 2480 or Fall into the Abyss of 2300?
ETH Tug-of-War: 2400 Sets the Offense and Defense, Data Tonight Determines the Outcome
ETH hovered at 2424 USD this morning, with both bulls and bears engaged in a fierce tug-of-war within the narrow range of 2400-2430. Every test pulls at the nerves, and minor fluctuations in technical and news factors could ignite a direction.
Key Momentum Concerns
MACD green bars are shortening; although still leaning bullish, upward momentum is waning, raising caution for a pullback. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands has been adjusted down to around 2420 USD, becoming today’s observation “bull-bear watershed.” Without an effective breakthrough, upward space is hard to open. The 2850-2900 range remains the “Heartbreak Ridge,” burdened by historical trapped positions, and without significant positive news, it's difficult to break through.
Data Steers Tonight
Tonight's U.S. core economic data and Fed policy signals are the biggest variables:
Strong Dollar = ETH Under Pressure: Strong data or hawkish rhetoric will trigger selling.
Rising Rate Cut Expectations or ETF Breakthrough = ETH Rebound: A dovish shift or positive ETF news will ignite bullish enthusiasm.
Three Steps to Resolve Position
View Position: Lightly Trapped: Steady at 2430 to add positions, target 2550-2600 to reduce holdings. Heavily Trapped: Reduce positions during rebounds to 2480-2500 to relieve pressure, keep cash reserves. Maintain Key Levels: If 2400 holds: can add positions at lower levels, during rebounds above 2480, gradually take profits. If breaking 2380 with volume: decisive stop-loss to prevent deep traps.
Adding Position Discipline: Pyramid Adding: Add once every 50 USD drop, reducing position size. Never All-In: Keep 50% cash to guard against black swans.
Today's Mantra:
“Keep a close watch on the 2400 position, withdraw if breaking 2380;
2480 shows pressure, reduce holdings in batches, don’t be greedy;
News ignites at midnight, four o'clock closing determines win or loss!
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