Dogecoin (DOGE) rose slightly on Friday, trading near $0.17 with a modest 1.0% daily gain. However, trading volume has declined sharply, suggesting caution among investors as DOGE approaches a key technical crossroads.According to CoinMarketCap, Dogecoin has lost nearly 3% in the past seven days, with its daily trading volume dropping 30% to approximately $678 million. This thin volume reflects weaker market participation and hesitation ahead of a potentially significant price move.
#Dogecoin $DOGE looks prime for a 60% price move! All you need to do is wait for a daily close outside of the $0.16 to $0.22 range to determine the direction of the trend.So go to @coinexcom, sign up using my referral link https://t.co/73n8mWavUX, and join me in this trade! pic.twitter.com/Im27DBuBka— Ali (@ali_charts) June 19, 2025
Caution Builds as Volume Slides
On-chain metrics reveal a 34% drop in trading activity, signaling a lack of momentum among traders. Lower volume often precedes volatile price swings, as even small trades can push DOGE sharply higher or lower in thin market conditions.
Crypto analyst Ali, widely followed for technical insights, highlights that Dogecoin’s current structure forms a symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows converging toward a breakout point.
Symmetrical Triangle Sets the Stage
Spanning from early 2024 to mid-2025, the triangle pattern is narrowing, and according to Ali's chart analysis, its apex is due by June 2025. Such formations typically end with a decisive move, and traders are closely monitoring DOGE for signs of a breakout.
A daily close above $0.22 is seen as the bullish trigger, potentially pushing Dogecoin to $0.35 or $0.36, a gain of roughly 60% from current levels. On the downside, a drop below $0.16 could open the door to a steep sell-off toward $0.10, marking a significant risk zone for holders.
What Analysts Expect
Forecasts from Digital Coin Price are optimistic, predicting DOGE could climb past $0.37 before year-end. Some even believe Dogecoin could test its all-time high of $0.74 again in the coming bull cycle.
The short-term direction, however, will depend on volume confirmation. Without strong buying interest, DOGE may remain stuck in a choppy, range-bound phase.
What Could Drive the Move?
Market sentiment around Dogecoin often mirrors the broader crypto landscape. A Bitcoin or Ethereum rally could lift DOGE along with it. Social media buzz and endorsements from high-profile figures, such as Elon Musk, have historically impacted Dogecoin’s price, and any resurgence in such support could act as a bullish catalyst.
On the flip side, macroeconomic uncertainty or another wave of crypto market corrections could put further pressure on DOGE’s price.
With key levels at $0.22 and $0.16 acting as breakout and breakdown signals, respectively, the next few weeks could be critical in determining Dogecoin’s short-term trajectory.
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