Shock in 3 hours: V-shaped reversal has hidden reefs When the BTC price broke through the previous low near 102300 at 2 AM, liquidation data from a futures platform showed that 1.2 billion USD in long positions vanished instantly. But strangely, the price formed a 'sharp bottom reversal' at 102345 USD, soaring 950 points to the 103000 integer threshold within 3 hours, with trading volume surging by 270%. On-chain monitoring shows that anonymous address 0x5a7f swept away 8000 BTC in the 102200-102500 range, which is equivalent to 18% of the current daily trading volume, constituting preliminary evidence of 'institutional baiting'. Even more concerning is the 'volume-price divergence' phenomenon: during the rebound, net outflow of main funds was 120 million USD, yet through high-frequency trading created a false appearance of 'increased volume'. A quantitative trader revealed: 'We monitored 37 accounts placing stepped sell orders at 103000 points, adding 200 BTC sell orders for every 100-point increase, a typical 'fishing for sales' strategy.' 103000 point offensive and defensive battle: three-dimensional combat map Bullish defense works
Psychological defense line: 103000 points as an integer threshold gathers a large number of retail investors' bottom-fishing buy orders
Technical support: The 50EMA (102850 points) on the 4-hour chart forms a short-term moat
Capital ambush: On-chain shows a certain whale has placed 50 million USD stop-loss buy orders in the 102900-103100 range
Bearish attack formation
Sniping point: 3000 BTC sell orders (worth 310 million USD) accumulated above 103000 points
Fire support: CME futures put options at 103500 points saw an increase of 47% in open interest
Intelligence reconnaissance: Derivatives funding rate surged from -0.02% to +0.05%, suggesting bulls are paying high financing costs
Long-short hunting strategy toolbox
Bullish raid plan
Entry condition: 15-minute K line closing price stabilizes above 103200 points, while trading volume expands to 1.5 times the average of the previous 3 K lines
Tactical configuration:
Build long with 50% of the position at 103200 points, stop-loss set below 102800 points
Increase position by 30% when breaking 103800 points, target 105500 points
20% maneuvering funds for the second breakthrough at 104200 points resistance
Retreat signal: Price falls below 102900 points and cannot recover within 15 minutes, triggering all long stop-losses
Bearish strangulation plan
Entry timing: Any of the following signals appear:
103000 points hit three times in a row without success forming a 'triple top'
Trading volume suddenly shrinks to below 40% of the rebound volume
On-chain large transfers of over 1000 BTC to exchanges
Attack route:
First attack at 102500 points (intraday low psychological defense line)
Nuclear explosion at 102000 points (previous low support area)
Ultimate hunting at 100000 points (integer threshold psychological collapse point)
Risk control: Short stop-loss uniformly set above 103500 points, take profit 20% of the position for every 500-point drop
Battlefield intelligence monitoring system
On-chain reconnaissance indicators
Whale movements: Pay attention to Glassnode's 'large transfer counts', daily transfers exceeding 1000 BTC more than 3 times require caution
Chip distribution: Check IntoTheBlock's 'price range positions', over 2 billion USD trapped positions above 103000 points will form strong resistance
Stablecoin flow: Continuous net inflow of stablecoins exceeding 50 million USD for 2 hours is considered sufficient ammunition for bulls
Derivatives warning signals
TypeScript cancels automatic line break copy 1. Perpetual contract funding rate exceeds 0.03% for 2 hours → Long overheating warning2. Put/Call Ratio below 0.7 → Market overly optimistic3. Futures premium rate exceeds 3% → Potential dumping risk for arbitrage positions
Battlefield commander's notes
The current market is staging a 'pinnacle showdown of psychological games': bulls attempt to create the illusion of a 'bottom-fishing feast' with a V-shaped reversal, while bears set up a 'death sniper array' at 103000 points. As traders, the most dangerous thing is not judging the direction, but being confused by short-term fluctuations. Remember: real opportunities often hide in the moment of 'market consensus breaking' — when 90% of people believe 103000 points will break, it may be the best time for a reverse operation.
In this life-and-death battle at 103000 points, bullets (funds) are more important than courage, and stop-loss (discipline) is more reliable than prediction. Regardless of being bullish or bearish, remember: there are no heroes on the cryptocurrency battlefield, only survivors.