Is the big one coming? Or should we continue to play dead?

Volatility has been pressed to the limit, historically only 8 times has it been this low:

2020.7.22, 2022.10.22, 2023.1.6, 6.4, 8.2, 10.6, 2024.6.2, 2025.2.20.

After this, there will either be a big rise or a big fall—

4 times down, 3 times up. And one more? That's now.

But the longer it drags on, the greater the probability of a downward movement.

Rises are usually straightforward and decisive, while it’s this quiet before a drop.

If they are really preparing to crash the market, they usually first try to lure in buyers;

If they are truly ready to advance, they might first give you a scare with a spike.

The current question is:

This time, is it the turn for a rise?

Or, will it continue to drag on until confidence collapses?