SOL Life and Death Situation: Underwater Golden Cross Meets Reversal Triangle, is 148 a Launch Pad or a Guillotine?

News Front: Bull and Bear Artillery Shells Clash

  1. Three Major Benefits Ignite the Fuse:

    • ETF Approaching: Van Eck's SOL Spot ETF has been listed on DTCC, Bloomberg predicts a 76% probability of approval within the year, if passed it will unleash institutional capital.

    • Regulatory Breakthrough: Solana Foundation joins Phantom and others to submit a tokenized securities framework to the SEC, striving for DeFi exemption, traditional assets on-chain may open a trillion-dollar market.

    • Ecosystem Charge: 'Solana Summer' launches on June 20, new projects + user growth 12%, historical volatility skyrockets by an average of 40% during the same period.

  2. Two Hidden Minefields:

    • TVL Stagnation: DApp weekly revenue plummets 60% from $100 million to $40 million, Memecool's narrative has not taken over after the tide recedes.

    • Macroeconomic Black Swan: Middle East Conflict Escalates, Trump's Tough Stance on Iran Triggers Risk Aversion, Risk Assets Under Pressure.

Technical Front: $148 Performs Tightrope Walk

Bollinger Bands Pinched into a Line: Four-hour chart channel shrinks to the limit, countdown to a reversal starts - break upwards to see 158, crash downwards to see 140.

Trap of MACD Underwater Golden Cross: Although DIF-1.10 crosses above DEA-1.40 and the histogram turns positive at 0.60, both lines dive deep below the zero axis, need volume increase to confirm authenticity.

Life and Death Watershed Mark:

Breakthrough 150.5 EMA 12 Resistance - Challenge Previous High 168.32

Lost Support at 143.8 - Waterfall Plummets to 131

Follow Big D for Wealth Insights! In-depth Market Analysis + Cutting-edge News, Professional Team to Show You the Doubling Path. $SOL #波段交易策略