#SwingTradingStrategy

As of June 20, 2025, Bitcoin is consolidating around the $104,000-$105,000 mark after a recent dip, influenced by global macroeconomic uncertainty, including the Israel-Iran conflict and the US Federal Reserve's interest rate stance. While some predictions anticipate a rise towards $108,000 to $110,000, Bitcoin has slipped to a monthly low of $103,940 and is facing resistance around $106,200. On-chain data suggests stealth accumulation by long-term holders despite muted retail activity and dipping perpetual swap funding rates. The 50-day moving average is sloping down, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but the RSI is neutral.

Swing Trade Strategy for Bitcoin (June 20, 2025):

Given Bitcoin's current consolidation and mixed signals, a cautious swing trade strategy focusing on key support and resistance levels is advisable.

1. Identify Support and Resistance:

* Immediate Support: $103,700 - $104,300 (current consolidation band). A stronger support lies around $102,400 and $100,000.

* Immediate Resistance: $106,200 - $108,000. Further resistance at $110,000 - $111,980 (recent all-time high).

2. Entry Points:

* Long Entry (Buy the Dip): Consider initiating a long position if Bitcoin shows clear signs of bouncing from the $103,700 - $104,300 support band, ideally accompanied by increased buying volume or a bullish candlestick pattern. A more conservative entry could be near the $102,400 or even $100,000 level if it retests those.

* Short Entry (Sell the Rally): If Bitcoin approaches the $106,200 - $108,000 resistance zone and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume), a short position could be considered.