ETH, once the star of the crypto world, why has it performed so 'lackluster' in this cycle? Compared to BTC and SOL, where exactly did it lose, and is there still a chance for a comeback?
📉 One, Currency price is lagging behind across the board
In November 2021, Ethereum reached an all-time high of $4,891, but by June 2025, it was hovering around $2,500, still far from the new high.
In contrast, Bitcoin has surpassed $100,000, and SOL has surged nearly 30 times from its low.
The ETH/BTC exchange rate dropped from 0.088 to 0.017, plummeting 80%. The data speaks: over the past three years, ETH has not only failed to make money, but even 'preserving value' has become a problem.
📊 Two, Revenue and Users: Surpassed by Solana
During peak periods, Ethereum's daily protocol revenue reached tens of millions of dollars, but now has dropped to hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars.
On Solana, http://pump.fun can generate daily income of up to $7 million and is currently stable at over $1 million, crushing Ethereum's mainnet.
The number of active ETH addresses has hardly changed in three years (average daily about 500,000), while Solana has surged from less than 100,000 to 4 million.
👉 You think it's a market issue, but it's actually a systemic lag.
🧨 Three, Three Core Issues Exposed
1. L2 failure: User experience is too poor
L2, which was supposed to solve the high fee problem, has now become a 'stumbling block' holding it back:
EIP-4844 reduced fees but halved mainnet revenue.
The fragmented experience between L2s: Users still need to frequently switch networks and manually bridge, which has not achieved 'Layer 2 convenience'.
2. Foundation inefficiency
The PoS concept was proposed in 2016 and only went live in 2023.
In 2024, calling for 'optimization of user experience', and by mid-2025, there has still been no movement.
3. Lack of New Narratives
In the past, Ethereum led the ICO, DeFi, and NFT;
In this round, the AI and Memecoin craze are all in Solana and Base, while ETH has become a 'bystander'.
🚀 Four, The Overwhelming Advantage of BTC and SOL
BTC: Supported by ETFs, a shift in US policy, breaking through the $100,000 barrier, traditional funds are pouring in.
SOL: From $9.9 to $294, the team fixed the downtime issues, explosive growth in user numbers, and both technology and ecosystem are shining.
🔮 Five, Does ETH Still Have a Future?
Don't rush to judge the death penalty; we see some positive signals:
1. Still the big brother
The market cap is still as high as $300 billion, with a daily trading volume of $37.5 billion, far exceeding SOL.
Brand recognition and developer resources, ETH still has a moat.
2. The foundation is starting to take real action
Lay off 10-20 people, replace senior management, and introduce 30 interns to reshape the team.
Vitalik himself stepped in to propose the 'mainnet expansion plan': speed up 10 times in one year, 100 times in two years, gradually getting rid of dependence on L2.
🎯 Six, Conclusion: The Road to ETH's Counterattack
Ethereum has many problems, but the foundation is still there. If the mainnet scaling is successful and the experience is optimized, the ETH/BTC exchange rate is expected to return to 0.088, and ETH reaching $10,000 is not a dream.
👉 Here comes the problem:
Do you still believe in ETH's future?
Feel free to leave your opinions in the comments, let's witness this revenge battle of Ethereum together!
