Bitcoin is Bitcoin, Ethereum is Ethereum, stablecoins are stablecoins, and altcoins are altcoins! Don't look at Bitcoin's strong performance and think that the altcoin season has arrived just because it hit a new all-time high in May! The result could be very different from what you imagine!
In fact, if you think carefully, you will realize that Bitcoin reached a new all-time high, while Ethereum did not reach 2900, so you will know that the situation is not as optimistic as you imagine!
What standard should be used to quantify the performance of altcoins? This article is very important; everyone should read it carefully!
1. Market bottom formation period from bear market to bull market
The bottom formation period from a bear market to a bull market refers to [after the last wave of a small rally, the drop in return is no longer so severe as to despair people, there is a very evident bottom, anyone can perceive that it is the lowest point, and the greater the market value, the more evident the bottom. However, in this phase, there will be recurring annoying oscillations, and often we will not exit the oscillation range for a long time].
This is the market operator's accumulation period; it is the most exhausting period, and it is very easy to make people lose patience. One can use Wave Theory + Gann Theory + Wyckoff's Accumulation Model + Chan Theory for an integrated analysis in bottom formation. Only after this bottom formation period does the true phase of takeoff of the big bull market begin!
Historically, the bottom formation period from a bear market to a bull market is 8 to 9 months. Can you hold on?
2. Overall situation of altcoins - Sky Map
To analyze the overall situation of altcoins, it is necessary to exclude Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various stablecoins from the overall situation of the cryptocurrency market value; this is the true overall situation of the market value of altcoins, as shown in the image. Everyone should reflect on this:
3. Situation of small altcoins - Sky Map
Based on the situation of the total market value of altcoins, excluding the top 50 coins by market value, we obtain the overall situation of small altcoins, as shown in the image. Everyone should reflect on this:
The overall recovery of small altcoins during the small rally is slightly lower than the overall situation of altcoins, which means that if you are unsure, participating in coins within the top 50 by market value during the small rally in a bear market will be more cost-effective and provide greater certainty.
4. Situation of micro-altcoins - Sky Map
Based on the situation of the total market value of altcoins, excluding the top 100 coins by market value, we obtain the overall situation of micro-altcoins, as shown in the image. Everyone should reflect on this:
Micro-altcoins after the 100th position in market value did not show a bull market in 2024, but only a significant recovery in the bear market that began at the end of 2021. This is very painful!
The overall recovery of micro-altcoins during the small rally is much lower than that of altcoins, which means that if you are unsure, it is not recommended to participate in altcoins below 100 in market value during the small rally in a bear market. The uncertainty is great, and it is easy to follow the decline without accompanying the rise.
5. Conclusion
The cycle of the sky is cyclical. If the search for the sword in the boat is valid, my suggestion is:
(1) Between August and October 2025, altcoins will have a small rally. If you are unsure, it is recommended to buy altcoins that are within the top 50 by market value; then, altcoins within the top 100 by market value. It is not recommended to buy altcoins that are below 100 in market value.
(2) Between January and March 2026, there will be the third small rally. If you are unsure, it is recommended to buy altcoins that are within the top 50 by market value; then, altcoins within the top 100 by market value. It is not recommended to buy altcoins that are below 100 in market value.
(3) After the end of the third small rally, the bottom formation period for the transition from a bear market to a large bull market will be between September and October 2026. Significant investments need to be made before September and October 2026, with a reasonable allocation of Bitcoin, altcoins within the top 50 by market value, altcoins within the top 100 by market value, and altcoins below 100, seeking to achieve a greater increase with a secure base!
(4) Which specific coins should be bought in each phase? Everyone should think about this.
6. The importance of learning techniques
To shape iron, one must be strong; only by raising awareness can one successfully navigate through bull and bear markets. Study the technique well during the bear market, and when the bull market arrives, you will be able to enter and exit calmly and make a lot of money! I recommend that everyone study well the following social media content that I've highlighted: [A high success rate trading model], [Wave Theory], [Chan Theory], [Gann Theory], [Wyckoff's method], etc., so your skills to make money will be even greater!
💡 Note: Investing is like walking at night, always carry a "risk awareness" flashlight, stay away from the fog of trading, and refuse to follow the light blindly.
If you have also floated in the sea of desire, like 👍 + follow "Little Learner", and leave a gentle light in the comments section. Share so that more people can see — life is worth it; you do not need to bet your life.