Current situation (June 20, 2025):
- Price: ~$0.13–$0.15 (USD, based on current data).
- Context: Ontology (ONT) — a blockchain for decentralized identification (DID) and data in Web3, focusing on privacy, scalability, and cross-chain interaction. Operates on its own blockchain, compatible with Ethereum (EVM). Market capitalization: ~$120–$130 million (ranking ~300). TVL: ~$20–$30 million. Posts on X (@OntologyNetwork, @OntologyAU) highlight activity in DID and integration with ONTO Wallet.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: $0.36–$2.71 (growth of 140–1800%) in a bull market and success of Web3.
- Neutral: $0.24–$0.48 (growth of 80–260%).
- Pessimistic: $0.17–$0.20 in case of correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: $0.12–$0.13, $0.09–$0.10.
- Resistance: $0.18–$0.20, $0.30–$0.36.
- Trend: Mixed. Daily chart shows a neutral-bearish signal (RSI ~40–50, 50 MA below 200 MA). Possible reversal on breakout at $0.18.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Web3 and DID: ONT ID and ONTO Wallet simplify identification and access to dApps.
- Partnerships: Chainlink, Binance, OKX, integration with Polkadot and Cosmos.
- Ecosystem: growth of activity in DeFi, NFT, RWA (tokenization of assets).
- Staking: APR ~5–8%, support through ONG (gas token).
- BTC halving (2024): historically supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify ONT as a security.
- Competition: Civic, SelfKey, Polygon ID in DID.
- Centralization: criticism for dependence on Chinese authorities and dBFT consensus.
- Low liquidity: trading volume ~$10–$20 million/24h, vulnerability to whales.
- Token unlocks: ~$50 million in 2025 may pressure the price.
Recommendation:
- For investors: Buy on correction to $0.12–$0.13, stop below $0.09. Target: $0.30–$0.48. Staking for income.
- For traders: Buy on breakout at $0.20, target $0.30–$0.36. Sell below $0.12, target $0.09–$0.10.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit, consider volatility and low liquidity.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, drop in BTC/ETH.