"Bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war at $104,000, a single Middle Eastern trigger could ignite the market"

News: Three forces suppressing the crypto market

  1. Geopolitical black swan: The US plans to intervene in the Israel-Iran conflict, risk aversion pushes gold up to $3,450, capital flows out of the crypto market.

  2. Federal Reserve's hawkish stance: Powell postpones rate cut expectations, USD strengthens, risk assets under collective pressure, BTC hits hardest.

  3. Regulatory hidden dangers: SEC strictly investigates stablecoin compliance, XBIT privacy protocol exposed for 'dual-channel fraud', institutional capital hesitant to enter.

Technical: Death cross overhead, triangle convergence

Bollinger Bands: Narrowed to the extreme, prices are compressed between $103,000-$108,000, countdown to a market reversal has begun.

MACD: DIF crosses below DEA, red bars stable, bears control the 4-hour cycle.

Bull-bear life and death line:

Support: $103,750 breaches trigger the explosive area below $104,000 with $3 billion liquidation.

Resistance: $105,800+ $107,961.

"When gold breaks $3,500, and RMB settlement surpasses USD, Bitcoin is proving to be the most resilient seedling — but first, it must survive the current 'regulatory winter'.

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