Here is a comprehensive analysis of the **Solana (SOL)** market with a focus on influencing factors and potential forecasts:

### 1. **Current Technical Performance (up to June)**:

- **Price**: SOL traded around **~$150** after a significant rise from levels of ~$20 in late 2022.

- **Momentum**: Increased by **+750%** over 12 months thanks to:

- Recovery of the crypto market in general.

- Capital inflow into tokens associated with the "Solana Ecosystem".

- Institutional adoption (such as VanEck, Franklin Templeton).

### 2. **Key Growth Drivers**:

#### A. **Superior Technical Performance**:

- **Transaction Speed**: 65,000 transactions/second (higher than Ethereum).

- **Low Costs**: ~$0.00025 per transaction.

- **Important Updates**: Firedancer (new compatibility provider) to increase decentralization and stability.

#### B. **Ecosystem Growth**:

- **Decentralized Finance (DeFi)**: Total value locked (TVL) **~$4.5B** (second largest chain after Ethereum).

- **Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs)**: Strong activity (such as Mad Lads, Tensor).

- **Tokens**: Success of tokens like $JUP, $RAY, $PYTH.

. **Institutional Support**:

- Inclusion of SOL in ETFs outside the United States (Canada, Europe).

- Partnerships with Visa, Shopify for payments.

3. **Risks and Challenges**:

- **History of Outages**: 5 major outages during 2022 (recent improvements with updates v1.16+).

- **Competition**: Pressure from Ethereum Layer 2 (Arbitrum, Base), and new Layer 1 (Sei, Sui).

- **Volatility**: Strong correlation with the Bitcoin (BTC) market → any correction in BTC affects SOL.