#IsraelIranConflict
🔥 Current Situation
Limited intervention of Iraqi militias
Despite rising tensions, militia factions in Iraq —such as Kataib Hezbollah, Kataib Sarkhat al-Quds, and the 'Islamic Resistance in Iraq'— are maintaining a low profile and are not actively attacking Israel at this time.
There have been previous drone and missile attacks, but currently, restraint prevails, especially in light of potential reprisals.
Iraq denounces violations of its airspace
The Iraqi government has filed a complaint with the United Nations regarding the unauthorized entry of Israeli aircraft into its airspace during attacks on Iranian facilities.
Risk of regional escalation
Iraqi analysts and political leaders fear that if the conflict between Israel and Iran escalates, pro-Iran factions in Iraq could reactivate and open a new front against Israel or even U.S. bases.
However, for now, 'the survival and economic interests' of these militias act as a deterrent.
Measures by the Iraqi government
The Baghdad government seeks to maintain a neutral stance, reinforcing its control over these paramilitary groups while managing pressures from allies such as Iran and the U.S.
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🌍 Regional Overview
The 'Axis of Resistance' weakened
Iran-aligned militias (Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas, groups in Yemen, and in Iraq) have shown little willingness to escalate hostilities, curtailed both by the loss of military capacity and by economic and political reasons.
Military budget of the EU and Arab states
Several Gulf and European countries are adopting contingency plans (evacuations, protection of facilities, etc.), while Iraq increases its security presence in cities like Basra.
