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#Powell's Speech#

A 71% probability is a strong signal. This usually means that the market has fully digested the current information and tends to believe that inflationary pressures are gradually easing, creating conditions for the Federal Reserve to start a rate cut cycle in the second half of the year. Powell has pointed out that the Federal Reserve will continue to wait and see, waiting for more data guidance. If the upcoming CPI and other employment data continue to show that inflation is gradually falling back and the labor market remains resilient rather than overheated, the possibility of a rate cut in September will be further consolidated.