📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/06/19)
Repeatedly testing the critical range of 2.5K, consolidated under the pressure of the daily 10/20MA, increasing divergence between bulls and bears, focus on confirming the direction of breaking above 2,588 or falling below 2,381!
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【Period】1D
Trend: Consolidation biased towards bullish, positioned above 200MA(2,478) and 50MA(2,438), pressured by 10MA(2,558)/20MA(2,589), forming a symmetrical triangle consolidation, RSI neutral, MACD tangled below the zero axis.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,381 (breakdown turns bearish)
🟢 Add Long: 2,467✅ (small triple bottom)／2,420 (large triple bottom)
🚀 Breakout Add Long: 2,880
🎯 Take Profit: 3,186／3,684／4,182
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,589 (breakout denies)
🟢 Add Short: 2,558 (10MA)／2,574 (BB middle line)
🚨 Breakdown Add Short: 2,381
🎯 Take Profit: 2,104／1,754／1,385
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【Period】4H
Trend: Bullish range support, price supported above 200EMA(2,510), 20/50EMA forming pressure, MACD slightly positive, DMI+DI greater than -DI indicating bullish advantage, has formed a quadruple low.
🔹 Left Side Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,436 (breakdown turns to short)
🟢 Add Long: 2,473✅ (triple bottom)
🚀 Breakout Add Long: 2,681
🎯 Take Profit: 2,820／3,046／3,273
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,681 (breakout can go long)
🟢 Add Short: 2,567／2,593／2,631
🚨 Breakdown Add Short: 2,453／2,436
🎯 Take Profit: 2,313／2,087／1,860
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【Period】1H
Trend: Slightly bullish consolidation, EMA10/20 flattening and turning up, RSI rebounding to 54, Bollinger Bands tightening awaiting expansion, momentum brewing.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,465 (breakdown turns bearish)
🟢 Add Long: 2,497／2,484
🚀 Breakout Add Long: 2,549
🎯 Take Profit: 2,596／2,676／2,755
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Conservative Trailing Stop Loss: 2,549 (breakout changes to long)
🟢 Medium Risk Add Short: 2,555／2,583／2,591
🚨 Breakdown Add Short: 2,453
🎯 Take Profit: 2,428／2,272／2,116
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【Strategy Summary】
ETH daily oscillates in the range of 2.38K–2.59K, if it can stabilize above 10MA(2,558) and 20MA(2,589), expect the bulls to continue attacking; if it breaks below 2,381, need to be alert to bearish risk. The 4H bulls are supported at 200EMA(2,510), can start positioning long on the left side at 2,467, increase after breaking 2,681, with a stop loss set at 2,436; if the 4H fails, consider short positions again at 2,453–2,436.
