$XRP to $10,000 The hypothesis of the cryptocurrency price going from $25 to $10,000 is certainly one of the more
XRP to $10,000
The hypothesis of the cryptocurrency price going from $25 to $10,000 is certainly one of the most ambitious predictions circulating in the cryptocurrency space, and while it is theoretically interesting, it comes with some key assumptions that need to be realistically unpacked:
🔍 Summary of the core claim:
• Pumpius suggests that XRP could reach $10,000 through:
• Capturing 10% of the global foreign exchange trading volume (about $7.5 trillion daily),
• Dealing with real-world assets (RWAs),
• Managing 5% of global debt settlements,
• Achieving high transaction speeds, meaning reusing the same XRP tokens repeatedly in fast transactions.
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🧠 Reality check: Calculating market cap
At $10,000 per XRP:
• With a supply of around 100 billion XRP, the market cap would be around 1 quadrillion dollars.
• And this exceeds the total value of global GDP (around $105 trillion), global stock markets, real estate, and even all fiat currencies combined.
Critics say this is unrealistic. They are right, as this assessment would exceed the total liquidity available globally.
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📊 Counter-argument from supporters:
And they argue:
• Market cap ≠ real money invested - it’s just price × supply.
• Speed reduces the need for high supply: If XRP is used thousands of times a day, there would be less need for fewer coins to achieve a large volume.
• XRP is a utility token - not a store of value like gold or Bitcoin, so its role is transactions, not hoarding.
This is based on the theory of "velocity of money", which is similar to how fiat currency works in the economy - where faster movement of money means needing less.
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⚠️ Key issues in the message:
1. Scope of adoption: XRP will need near-monopolistic adoption by banks, governments, and global financial infrastructure - and that is far from guaranteed.
2. Regulatory hurdles: Governments are looking to issue central bank digital currencies and may not rely on XRP as a neutral bridge.
3. Current sentiment: Institutional adoption of Ripple’s currency is increasing, but not close to settlement volumes of $100 trillion or more.
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🧠 Final takeaway:
Is it mathematically possible to reach an XRP value of $10,000? Technically, yes, if the entire global financial system is reshaped around XRP and we ignore market cap constraints.
• Is this feasible? Highly unlikely under current circumstances.
But the message clearly highlights one thing:
👉 People who only look at the charts may miss the deep overall vision that $XRP aims to achieve - being the "plumbing" of the new financial system.
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✅ TL;DR:
• 🚀 A bold claim with interesting logic through the velocity model
• 💰 It will require dealing with trillions daily, worldwide
• ⚠️ Market cap effects are astronomical
• 📉 Realistically? Unlikely, but theoretically, it’s an interesting way to explore the role of $XRP in the long term.
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