200 Million XRP Transfer from Ripple: Investors Cautious, Technical Data Indicates Squeeze

A significant transaction took place in the XRP market on June 17, 2025. According to data shared by blockchain tracking platform Whale Alert, Ripple transferred 200 million XRP worth approximately $439 million to an unidentified wallet. Such large transfers are often associated with strategic reserve management, institutional mobility, or concerns about potential selling pressure.

Binance Reserves Flat, Supply Pressure Low

CryptoQuant data reveals that XRP reserves on the Binance exchange have not shown a significant change in recent weeks. Reserves exceeded 8 billion dollars in December 2024 with a short-term increase but have been hovering in the 6-7 billion dollar range since spring 2025. This situation suggests that there has not been a large influx of new XRP into the market, but transfers originating from Ripple can still create significant impacts.

Price is Squeezing, Volume is High

According to the current data provided by CoinGecko, XRP is trading at $2.17 at the time of writing. While there was a limited increase of 0.1% in the last 24 hours, the trading volume reached $2.6 billion. Price movement is squeezed in a narrow band, between $2.12 and $2.18. According to TradingView charts, this squeeze is becoming more pronounced, narrowing down to the $2.15 - $2.18 range. Such horizontal movements can often herald significant price movements.

MVRV Ratio Declining: Profitability Decreasing

Data from on-chain analysis firm Santiment shows that XRP's MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio has dropped to 195.17. This metric is used to measure the average profit status of investors, and the current point, down from around 450 in January, signifies a clear decrease in profitability. This drop in the ratio suggests that investors may be more inclined to sell, and there could be short-term pressure in the market.

Short-term Volatility Risk is Increasing

Ripple's high-volume transfer may have an impact on investor psychology, despite not seeing a dramatic increase in exchange reserves. The technical indicators signaling a squeeze in a narrow range and the decline in the MVRV ratio suggest that we are approaching a period where the price could change direction.

Long-term Outlook Still Strong

Despite all these short-term risks, the fact that XRP has gained over 340% in value on an annual basis and that trading volume remains high indicates that the interest of long-term investors has not completely disappeared. Current data suggests that we are on the verge of both a cautious stance in the market and a potential change in direction.


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