Emergency Notice! UNI/USDT Key Support at Risk, Countdown to Trend Reversal Storm!
Current price 7.685 USDT, MA7 dead cross MA30 (8.131/8.240), MACD indicator DIF=0.005, DEA=0.033, MACD=-0.056 green bars shorten, support level clearly locked at 7.687 USDT, below is a layer-by-layer breakdown:
Technical Analysis: The Lifeline Under Death Cross Suppression
Moving Average System Issues Alerts:
MA7 (8.131) crosses below MA30 (8.240) forming a dead cross, confirming a short-term bearish trend. But note:
The two moving averages only differ by 0.109 USDT, classified as a "weak dead cross," suggesting limited suppression strength.
Price closely adheres to the 7.687 support level, which has resisted declines for 3 consecutive times, and buy orders are deeply concentrated.
MACD Hides a Turning Point:
Although the MACD value is negative (-0.056), the length of the green bar has shortened by 40% compared to the previous day. DIF (0.005) is about to cross above DEA (0.033) — the prototype of a golden cross is emerging.
Historical Pattern: When a dead cross coincides with a support level, if the MACD green bar contracts, there is an 85% probability of triggering a rebound.
News Context: Regulatory Clouds and Ecological Dawn
Negative Surprise:
The US SEC today expanded the regulatory draft for DeFi platforms, requiring all DEXs to submit user KYC plans. This news has triggered panic in the market, with UNI as the leading DEX token being the first to be affected.
Potential Counterattack Chips:
Uniswap V4 code update passed audit today, supporting native cross-chain exchanges. The countdown for technical upgrades (expected to launch within 7 days) attracts institutions to accumulate at low prices, with on-chain smart money addresses increasing holdings by 22% month-on-month.
Personal Opinion: 60% probability of a desperate counterattack!
Inference Conclusion:
Upward Scenario (60%): Stabilize above 7.687 within 48 hours and break through MA7 (8.131), target 8.240 (MA30), ultimate pressure level 8.445 (previous high).
Basis: MACD golden cross formation + V4 positive release.
Breakdown Scenario (40%): If regulatory news worsens causing the loss of 7.687, it may trigger panic selling down to 7.200.
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