Confirmed direct impact on Soroka Hospital in Be'er Sheva, Israel.
Escalation level: 9 / 10
The threshold for attacking civilian medical infrastructure, protected by international treaties, has been crossed.
Israel will likely respond with a direct attack on targets in Iran, not just proxies (Hezbollah, Syria).
** Oil
Red alert on Brent: if it hasn't surpassed 80 USD yet, it is imminent.
Expectation: +3 to +7 USD at the next market opening if this is officially validated.
** Crypto and risk markets
Asset Expected immediate reaction
$ETH USDT Rapid drop to 2,400–2,300 if there is no containment
$BTC /USDT Loss of 3–5% if crude oil and dollar rise
Gold Rally to 3,400 USD/oz if escalation is confirmed
DXY +0.5 points minimum due to safe haven in USD