Bitcoin Crash Scenario:

Bitcoin may face a significant decline if a combination of macroeconomic factors and internal market conditions occur. One of the main triggers would be a tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed), with an unexpected increase in interest rates in the U.S. to curb inflation. This tends to reduce the appetite for risk assets, such as cryptocurrencies.

Additionally, a possible regulatory crackdown in major markets like the United States, European Union, or China could generate panic among investors. The banning of exchanges, restrictions on the use of stablecoins, or measures against mining would directly impact confidence in the ecosystem.

Internally, a security scandal — such as a hacker attack on a major exchange, or the bankruptcy of a large crypto company — could trigger a mass liquidation, similar to what happened with FTX in 2022.

If these factors coincide, it is possible that Bitcoin could lose important technical supports (such as the levels of US$ 50.000, US$ 42.000, or US$ 30.000), triggering automatic sales (stop-loss) and fueling the domino effect.