Have you ever said this:
'I'll buy ETH when it pulls back to 2000, it's too expensive, I'm not in a hurry.'
It sounds rational, restrained, and well-planned, but unfortunately—this is exactly why most people miss out during a bull market.
One, when it really drops to 2000, do you really dare to buy?
Looking back, when ETH really dropped to around 2000 this year, what was the sentiment across the network?
The community is filled with panic and despair;
Major platforms are full of talk about 'liquidating' and 'running away';
The mainstream voice is not 'buying the dip', but 'there's still a drop coming.'
And the result? When it drops to 2000, no one dares to buy, and when it rises to 3600, they regret missing out. This phenomenon is not due to a 'lack of opportunity,' but a lack of ability to make decisions at the right time.
Two, why is the logic of 'waiting for a pullback to buy' so dangerous in the crypto space?
Because the crypto market is not linear; it is a highly irrational, emotion-driven 'narrative market.'
Pullbacks are often stampedes;
The lows often accumulate panic emotions;
The truly good prices always appear when you have the least confidence.
So, you think you are 'waiting for an opportunity,' but in reality, you are avoiding the responsibility of making a decision.
Three, the market has changed: it's not about technical levels, but driven by narrative.
You are waiting for 2000 because you are analyzing ETH as an ordinary asset, but you have overlooked that the underlying logic of the market has already switched:
Structural bullishness: The Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates does not equate to bad news, but rather strengthens the logic of 'assets stagnating for a long time → shifting to crypto';
The on-chain structure has changed: L2 ecosystem is exploding, Restaking narrative is rising, ETH staking rate continues to increase, and circulating supply is continuously shrinking;
The ETF narrative is not over: The ETH spot ETF has not yet been officially released, institutions are still slowly building positions, and 'policy expectations' are far from exhausted.
In this context, if ETH prices return to 2000, it can only happen after a systemic financial disaster. By the time you wait for that moment, your account might have already been wiped out by other altcoins.
Four, the core of the 'smart person trap': You think you are analyzing, but in fact, you are escaping action.
Many people are not foolish, but too smart—smart enough to want to catch the lowest point, sell at the highest point, and get it all done in one step.
But trading is not an exam; it’s not about how clever your logic is, but about how decisively you execute.
The ones who can really make money are those who dare to enter the market in batches during a decline, who dare to hold during the main upward wave, and who dare to buy against the trend when 'everyone is waiting for a pullback.'
Five, in conclusion: What you lack is not analytical ability, but a sense of trading rhythm.
If you are still waiting for ETH to hit 2000, I want to remind you of one thing:
The true bottom is never when the price touches it, but when emotions hit the bottom.
And the current market has long since moved away from panic. The longer you wait, the further you may be from the market's direction.
Instead of waiting for an 'ideal price', it's better to establish a 'rational plan':
Replace bottom-hunting fantasies with dollar-cost averaging;
Use position control to hedge against volatility;
Use trend awareness to grasp the rhythm.
This is not a competition about being smart, but a game of trading maturity.
