Technical Analysis, Price Prediction & Trade Plan
1. Introduction
Solana (SOL), a high-speed Layer-1 blockchain, is currently under significant bearish pressure against USDT. Recent market movements and technical indicators suggest an accelerating breakdown. In this article, we’ll examine the current setup, realistic price predictions, and a smart trade plan to navigate this situation.
2. Current Market Overview
Pair: SOL/USDT
Current Price: Around $126 (as of June 2025)
24-Hour Change: -4.85%
24-Hour Volume: $1.3 Billion
Market Cap Rank: #6
3. Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
The daily chart shows that SOL has broken down from a descending triangle pattern — a clear bearish signal.
Key Technical Patterns:
Breakdown from descending triangle
Death Cross (50-day EMA below 200-day EMA)
Bearish RSI Divergence
4. Major Support & Resistance Levels
LevelTypeImportance$135Former supportNow acting as resistance$120Immediate supportPsychological zone$110Strong supportHistorical demand zone$150ResistanceRecent swing high
5. Indicator Summary
IndicatorStatusSignalRSI (14)39Bearish, near oversoldMACDBearish crossoverNegative momentumVolumeIncreasing on red daysConfirms breakdownEMA 20/50Above current priceDowntrend confirmation
6. What is Bearish Breakdown Acceleration?
Bearish Breakdown Acceleration means:
A sharp and rapid fall below key support levels
Minimal consolidation
Heavy selling volume confirming bearish control
In SOL’s case, this is seen in the sharp drop from $135 to $126 in just a few days.
7. Short-Term Price Prediction
If the bearish momentum continues, we may see the following price targets:
Target 1: $120
Target 2: $110
Target 3 (Panic Zone): $98
However, a short-term bounce to $130–$135 is possible before further decline.
8. Mid-Term Outlook (July–August 2025)
Bullish Case: If SOL reclaims $135 and consolidates, it may aim for $150–$160.
Bearish Case: If it stays under $120, the next move could head toward $98 or lower.
9. Fibonacci Levels (Low $98 to High $188)
LevelPrice Target38.2% Fib$140 (already broken)50% Fib$14361.8% Fib$13178.6% Fib$114
These levels help identify retracement and bounce zones.
10. Short-Term Trade Plan
Setup: Bearish continuation
Entry Range: $126–$128 (after a bounce)
Target: $115
Stop Loss: $134
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
📌 Don’t enter aggressively — wait for a small pullback to reduce risk.
11. Long-Term Buy Zones
Accumulation Targets:
$110 – Strong historical support
$98 – Macro accumulation zone
Long-term investors may use DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) near these zones.
12. Risk Management Tips
Never risk more than 2% of capital per trade
Track BTC performance – it influences SOL
Always use stop-loss to manage downside
13. Sentiment Check
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: Fear
Funding Rates: Slightly negative
Social Buzz: Low volume – confirming bearish mood
14. Fundamental Catalysts to Watch
Changes in Solana TVL or DeFi activity
Major Solana partnerships
Regulatory developments
Layer-2 or GameFi integrations
Any strong positive news could trigger temporary relief rallies.
15. Final Thoughts
SOL/USDT is in a confirmed downtrend with bearish momentum accelerating. Traders should trade with caution and follow the trend. For long-term believers in Solana’s ecosystem, deep dips to $110 or $98 may offer great buying opportunities — but patience is key.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t catch falling knives. Let the price stabilize before taking long positions.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing or trading.
