#美联储利率决议即将公布
At 2:00 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. Will it be a rate cut, a rate hike, or no change? Currently, the market predicts a 90% chance of no rate cut. The result announced tonight is likely to be no change, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's bearish, because the market expectation is already priced in. Therefore, no change will not lead to significant fluctuations.
If a rate hike is announced, it will definitely be a major bearish signal, and the market will likely plunge, possibly dropping to 95,000. However, the probability of a rate hike is only 0.01%.
At 2:30 AM, Jerome Powell will deliver a speech on monetary policy. What he says tonight is crucial, as significant volatility often coincides with his speeches. If he leans dovish, the market will likely trend upwards, and there's a chance it could test 108,000 again. If he leans hawkish, a drop to around 101,000 is not impossible. Let's wait and see tonight. If you're looking to trade, feel free to join the live stream!