Core Price Data
Current Price: $2.72 (June 2025) Circulating Market Cap: $12.1 Billion (Ranked among the top 20 public chains) Key Price Predictions: 2026: $5–$7 (200% upside potential surpassing the previous high of $3.92) 2027: $10.47–12.10 (50% valuation based on Solana's current market cap) 2030: $33.01+ (If large-scale Web3 application scenarios are realized)
Value Support Logic
Technological Revolutionary
Parallel Processing Architecture: Achieves over 300,000 transactions per second through the Narwhal consensus protocol, far exceeding Ethereum's 2000 TPS. Zero-Latency Settlement: Payment application gas fees as low as $0.0001, which is 1/1000th of Visa's network costs. Developer-Friendly: The Move language improves smart contract security by 90% compared to Solidity.
Ecosystem Explosion Period
TVL Surpasses $700 Million: DeFi protocols like Volo and Magma Finance saw a 270% month-over-month increase in locked volume. New NFT Paradigm: Supports dynamic NFT programming, and blockchain games in collaboration with Epic Games have gained 500,000 pre-registrations. Enterprise-Level Applications: JPMorgan completed cross-border payment verification at 100,000 transactions per second on the Sui testnet.
Institutional Layout Signals
ETF Application: 21Shares has submitted a Sui spot ETF proposal to the SEC, with an expected probability of approval exceeding 45% before 2026. Chip Distribution: Despite a circulation volume of only 33%, Coinbase Custody's holdings account for 18%, indicating institutional confidence.
Trading Strategy Suggestions
Short-Term Strategy (6-12 Months): Use the pyramid accumulation method: $2.5 (support level) build position 40%, $2.0 (strong support) add position 30%. Combine with volatility arbitrage: Execute cross-period futures hedging when the 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrow to 7%.
Long-Term Holding (3-5 Years): Staking Yield: Current annualized yield of 14.8% + ecosystem project airdrops (expected annualized additional increase of 5-8%). Threshold Setting: Reduce 30% of holdings when the price breaks $5, retain 70% of the position until above $10.
Risk Warning
Token Inflation: Current annual inflation rate of 18.7%, with the largest unlocking scheduled for June 2026 (accounting for 22% of circulation). Ecosystem Dependency: The top three DApps contribute over 60% of on-chain activity, and the incubation ability of new projects needs to be observed. Regulatory Risk: If the U.S. classifies DApps developed in Move language as securities, it may trigger short-term selling pressure.
Action Suggestions: Allocate 10-15% of a configurable crypto portfolio, and track development activity indicators in real-time through the Sui ecosystem monitoring panel (current score 87/100). Focus on the progress of the ZK-Rollup upgrade test on the mainnet in the third quarter, which could be a potential catalyst for the next market surge.