Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the $104,000 level shortly before the announcement of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. This move is considered a critical turning point in the cryptocurrency market.
The narrowing of Bollinger Bands, which is among the technical indicators, and strong support regions indicate that this correction may soon provide a foundation for a significant Bitcoin rise.
According to information from COINOTAG sources, analysts predict that Bitcoin may gain value between 18-25% in the upcoming period, reaching the level of $130,000 by the end of the second quarter. Of course, this scenario will be valid if critical support points remain intact.
Bitcoin dipped below $104,000 ahead of the Fed's decision, while technical analyses indicate a potential rally towards $130,000 by the end of the second quarter. The strength of support levels is crucial for a bullish move.
Price Movement Below $104,000 is a Preparation for Possible Rally
Bitcoin's drop below the $104,000 limit is being closely monitored by investors and analysts. Especially, the fact that this occurs simultaneously with an important Fed interest decision draws attention to the increase of macroeconomic effects at the intersection of traditional and crypto markets. The price found support in the range of $102,000-$104,000, which previously acted as strong resistance. The transformation of this former resistance into support is generally considered a classic technical sign that precedes a bull run. Additionally, the squeezing of Bollinger Bands in this region reflects past periods of low volatility before significant price movements. When these technical indicators come together, they strengthen the likelihood of Bitcoin making a short-term bottom and then initiating an upward movement.
Technical Indicators and Short-Term Price Dynamics
According to Bitcoin technical analysis, market volatility is characterized by narrowing Bollinger Bands. This situation typically indicates a consolidation process signaling an approaching strong price movement. The $98,300 level stands out as critical support; a persistent break below this point may invalidate the bullish scenario and lead to sharper declines in prices. On the other hand, maintaining above this level increases the likelihood of a rally. Historical market data shows that a price increase of 18-25% has been observed under similar conditions, which could take Bitcoin to a new peak between $120,000 and $129,000.
Target of $130,000: Is it Possible in the Second Quarter?
Market experts evaluate the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $130,000 by the end of the second quarter with an optimistic outlook, in conjunction with analyses sourced from Cointelegraph. This forecast is consistent with the expected price increase in the range of 18-25%, indicating Bitcoin’s potential to surpass previous peaks. This approximately 6-8 week process offers investors the opportunity to track momentum and adjust their positions. However, this positive scenario depends on the preservation of critical supports. If these supports are broken, volatility may increase and downward pressure may emerge on prices, requiring market players to be more cautious.
Strategic Points for Investors
Support Levels: The range of $102,000-$104,000 is very important for a short-term bottom formation. $98,300 is a critical threshold for the overall market condition.
Upward Potential: If supports hold, Bitcoin could gain value between 18-25% and approach $130,000.
Time Frame: This movement is expected to occur by the end of the second quarter, that is, within the next 6-8 weeks.
Volatility Preparation: Narrowing Bollinger Bands herald the upcoming price fluctuations. These fluctuations can support the rally as long as supports are held; otherwise, prices may experience sharp declines.
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