The following is an analysis of the trends of BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, DOGE based on current market dynamics and key indicators, along with today’s (June 18, 2025) closing price prediction. It should be noted that the results of the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting tonight (interest rate decision and Powell's speech) are the biggest variables, which may trigger violent fluctuations.
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Current trend:
Current price reported at $103,868, down 3.73% in 24 hours, breaking through the key support at $106,000, with a low of $103,000.
Technical deterioration: 4-hour RSI dropped to 28 (oversold), MACD death cross, Bollinger Bands expansion indicates increased volatility.
Key catalysts:
FOMC meeting: If hawkish signals are released (such as a reduction in rate cut expectations to 25 basis points in 2025), it may further suppress prices; dovish statements may trigger an oversold rebound.
Funds divergence: Bitcoin ETF has seen a net inflow for six consecutive days (yesterday +$412 million), indicating clear signs of institutional buying on dips.
Support/Resistance:
Support: $103,000 (life-and-death line) → Break below looks to $100,000.
Resistance: $106,000 (turning resistance level), $108,000.
Closing prediction for today:
$103,500-$104,200 (if $103,000 support holds);
Break below $102,000 (if FOMC is unexpectedly hawkish).
2. Ethereum (ETH)
Current trend:
Price range $2,455-$2,616, down 2.62% in 24 hours, but relatively resilient against BTC (ETH/BTC=0.024).
Technical perspective: 4-hour RSI=35 (close to oversold), MACD has not formed a death cross, key support looks at $2,450-$2,470.
Positive signals:
Institutional funds continue to flow in: Ethereum spot ETF had a net inflow of $21.4 million yesterday, and whales increased their holdings by 818,000 ETH (a new six-year high).
Expectations for altcoin ETFs: Progress of SOL ETF (SEC requests submission of revised documents) may drive rotation in ETH and other altcoin sectors.
Support/Resistance:
Support: $2,470 → Break below looks to $2,400.
Resistance: $2,550, $2,620.
Closing prediction for today:
$2,480-$2,520 (if BTC stabilizes, supported by institutional buying);
$2,450 (if the market crashes).
3. Binance Coin (BNB)
Current trend:
Recent transaction price $705 (data lagging), but market decline drags down BNB.
Ecological support: Binance Chain DeFi activity (such as Aave deposits hitting new highs) may provide resilience against declines.
Key risks:
Regulatory uncertainty (especially Trump's tariff policies) may suppress the performance of platform coins.
Closing prediction for today:
$680-$710 (following the market fluctuations, but stronger than mid and small-cap coins).
4. Solana (SOL)
Current trend:
Boosted by ETF expectations: SEC requires issuers to submit revised S1 forms, expected approval within 35 weeks (including staking mechanism).
Recently under pressure: down 46.6% over 30 days, the scandal regarding the Argentine president promoting SOL ecological tokens has intensified selling pressure.
Support/Resistance:
Support: $135 (recent low);
Resistance: $150 (technical recovery level).
Closing prediction for today:
$138-$145 (ETF benefits hedge some market risks).
5. XRP
Current trend:
Lacking independent catalysts: Recently followed the market decline (down 15.6% in 24 hours).
Long-term potential: Bloomberg gives XRP spot ETF a passing rate of 85%, but short-term constrained by regulatory litigation uncertainty.
Closing prediction for today:
Narrow fluctuations at $2.05-$2.15 (low trading volume, waiting for policy clarity).
6. Dogecoin (DOGE)
Current trend:
Current price reported at $0.17, slight increase of 0.20% in 24 hours, but down 20.28% over 30 days.
On-chain signals: MVRV Z-score 0.28 (historical surrender zone), spot demand remains steady.
Event-driven:
Musk and Trump's controversy eases (Musk publicly apologizes), sentiment short-term recovery.
ETF expectations: DOGE spot ETF passing rate 80% (Bloomberg), but relies on overall enthusiasm for the MEME sector.
Closing prediction for today:
$0.172-$0.175 (strong resistance against decline, but constrained by the overall market).
Summary of closing price predictions
Summary and operational recommendations
1. FOMC meeting dominates short-term direction: If Powell releases dovish signals (such as hinting at rate cuts), BTC may quickly rebound to $105,000; hawkish statements may trigger panic selling, testing $100,000.
2. ETH/SOL structural opportunities: Institutional funds continue to flow in + expectations for altcoin ETFs, buying on dips is better than chasing highs.
3. High volatility coins (DOGE/XRP) cautious: Need to break through key resistance (DOGE $0.175/XRP $2.2) to confirm short-term trend.
4. Today's strategy:
BTC: $103,500 light position for long, stop loss at $102,000;
ETH: Accumulate at $2,470 in batches, target $2,580;
SOL/DOGE: Wait and see until after the FOMC meeting for clarity in direction.
Reminder: Powell's speech at 2:30 AM Beijing time is the biggest risk event; it is recommended to reduce leverage to avoid sudden volatility.