As Shiba Inu (SHIB) consolidates around $0.00001187 in June 2025, a TradingView analyst has outlined two critical scenarios that could define its price trajectory. With a descending trendline and key support levels in focus, will SHIB break out to new highs or face further declines? Explore the bullish and bearish paths, technical indicators, and ecosystem developments that could determine SHIB’s fate.

The cryptocurrency market, valued at $3.28 trillion, is navigating a volatile June 2025, with Shiba Inu (SHIB) experiencing a 30% decline from its recent highs, trading at approximately $0.00001187. Despite this pullback, a TradingView analyst, Mr. Hans, has highlighted two potential scenarios for SHIB’s price path, based on a descending trendline and a critical support zone. With the Shiba Inu community buzzing about Shibarium’s milestones and potential catalysts, investors are eager to understand whether SHIB will rebound or continue its downtrend. This article delves into the bullish and bearish scenarios, technical and fundamental drivers, and what lies ahead for SHIB in June 2025.

Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Toward New Highs

Technical Setup:

Analyst Mr. Hans points to a descending trendline that has capped SHIB’s price since its all-time high of $0.000088 in October 2021, acting as resistance at $0.000045 in March 2024 and $0.000033 in December 2024. SHIB is currently consolidating within a falling channel, but multiple lower-priced exchange candles suggest it’s holding above the $0.000011 support. A bullish divergence in the daily RSI (currently at 54.24) and a near-term bullish MACD crossover indicate growing momentum. If SHIB reclaims the $0.0000134 level with strong volume, it could break above the descending trendline, targeting the resistance zone between $0.00002174 and $0.00002418—an 80–100% gain from current levels. A further push could see SHIB revisit its all-time high of $0.000088, a 571.6% surge, as outlined by analyst Aram Salimi.

Catalysts for a Rally:  

Shibarium Growth: Shibarium, Shiba Inu’s layer-2 blockchain, surpassed 1 billion transactions since its August 2023 launch, showcasing technical robustness. Its integration with ShibaSwap and the Zypto App enhances SHIB’s DeFi utility, potentially driving demand.

Token Burns: A 3,484% spike in SHIB’s burn rate in February 2025 eliminated 537 million tokens, with 111.8 billion SHIB withdrawn from exchanges. Continued burns could reduce the 589 trillion circulating supply, creating deflationary pressure.

Community Strength: SHIB’s community, with 1.5 million holders and 76.71% long-term holders, remains a key driver. Posts on X, like those from LucieSHIB, highlight optimism about “hidden developments” teased by lead developer Shytoshi Kusama, potentially tied to Shibarium or partnerships like D3 Global for .shib domain names.

Market Sentiment: A broader altcoin season, fueled by Bitcoin’s rally to $107,000 and clearer U.S. crypto regulations under a Trump administration, could lift SHIB. Analysts predict a meme coin surge in May–June 2025, with SHIB potentially hitting $0.00006392.

Price Targets:

If SHIB breaks the $0.00001390 resistance (23.60% Fibonacci level), it could rally to $0.00002174–$0.00002418 by late June, with optimistic forecasts eyeing $0.00006392 by year-end in a strong bull market.

Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown and Further Declines

Technical Setup:

The bearish scenario hinges on SHIB’s failure to hold the $0.0000108–$0.000011 support zone, which previously acted as support in August 2024 and April 2025. A break below $0.00001054 would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling a deeper correction toward the psychological support at $0.0000100 or even $0.0000063, a 47% drop from current levels. Derivatives data shows a long/short ratio of 0.9172, with $750,000 in long position liquidations in the last 24 hours, reflecting bearish sentiment among traders. The 50-day SMA ($0.00001390) above the current price and a falling 200-day SMA ($0.00001361 by July 16) reinforce the downtrend.

Factors Driving a Decline:  

Supply Pressure: Scheduled token unlocks and exchange inflows, with 1.33 million SHIB recently deposited to Gate.io, could exacerbate selling pressure. The massive 589 trillion circulating supply makes significant price gains challenging without substantial burns.

Market Volatility: Geopolitical tensions, such as Israel-Iran conflicts, and a potential crypto market correction tied to Bitcoin’s resistance at $110,000 could drag SHIB lower.

Ecosystem Risks: Underwhelming Shibarium performance or lack of new dApps could dampen community enthusiasm. Posts on X, like pinetworkmember, criticize SHIB’s “low-quality apps,” potentially eroding investor confidence.

Competition: Newer meme coins like PEPE and BONK are diverting capital, diluting SHIB’s market share. Without unique use cases, SHIB risks losing relevance.

Price Targets:

A bearish breakdown could see SHIB drop to $0.0000100 by late June, with further declines to $0.0000063 or $0.000005 if negative sentiment persists. Wallet Investor’s bearish forecast suggests a potential 80% drop to $0.000000815 in extreme scenarios.

Broader Context: SHIB’s Ecosystem and Market Dynamics

Shibarium’s Role:

Shibarium’s 1 billion transaction milestone and integration with ShibaSwap signal growing utility in DeFi and NFTs. The collaboration with D3 Global for .shib domains aims to establish SHIB in Web3, potentially boosting adoption. However, SHIB’s success depends on delivering practical use cases to compete with established layer-2 networks like Arbitrum.

Community and Sentiment:

SHIB’s 1.5 million holders and active social media presence, with social dominance at 0.276% on June 10, underscore its community strength. Posts from SpecialShib and Sand_ShibArmy highlight optimism about a breakout, though bearish bets in derivatives markets temper enthusiasm.

Market Trends:

Bitcoin’s rally to $107,000 and a neutral Fear and Greed Index (51 points) suggest a cautious but opportunistic market. SHIB’s price often correlates with Bitcoin, but its meme coin status makes it sensitive to social media trends and speculative fervor.

Conclusion: A Critical Juncture for Shiba Inu

Shiba Inu stands at a pivotal moment in June 2025, with its price path hinging on the $0.0000108–$0.000011 support and $0.00001390 resistance. The bullish scenario, driven by Shibarium’s growth, token burns, and an altcoin season, could propel SHIB to $0.00002174–$0.00002418, with optimistic targets at $0.00006392 by year-end. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below $0.00001054 risks a drop to $0.0000063, fueled by supply pressure and market volatility. Investors should monitor technical indicators, Shibarium developments, and platforms like Binance for real-time insights. With its strong community and evolving ecosystem, SHIB’s path whether explosive rally or further decline will depend on market momentum and execution in the weeks ahead.

Disclaimer:

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry a high level of risk and volatility. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.$BTC $ETH $XRP