📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/06/18)

Ethereum returned below 2500 after high volatility yesterday, with the short-term focus shifting downward. Bulls and bears are contesting in the 2420–2780 range, and today we are monitoring the central support and resistance reactions.

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【Time Frame】1D

Trend: The daily chart is consolidating in the 2420–2780 range, closing below the 20MA (approximately 2561). MACD is negative, RSI is about 48, and the overall bullish momentum is lacking.

🔹 Long Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 2381 (turns bearish if broken)

🟢 Add Long: 2467✅ (small triple bottom), 2420 (large triple bottom)

🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 2880

🎯 Take Profit: 3186, 3684, 4182

🔻 Short Position Information (left side resistance):

🛑 Stop Loss: 3135 (turns bullish if broken)

🟢 Add Short: 2834✅ (triple top)

🚨 Breakout Follow Short: 2381, 2323

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【Time Frame】4H

Trend: The 4-hour level is bearish, with prices suppressed by the 10/20/50MA. MACD is negative, RSI is about 43, and -DI shows clear dominance, with no rebound signals seen at the support.

🔻 Short Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 2681 (turns bullish if broken)

🟢 Add Short: 2533✅ (major resistance), 2567, 2593, 2631

🚨 Breakout Follow Short: 2453, 2436

🎯 Take Profit: 2313, 2087, 1860

🔹 Left Side Long Position Information:

🛑 Stop Loss: 2436 (turns bearish if broken)

🟢 Add Long: 2473✅ (triple bottom)

🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 2681

🎯 Take Profit: 2820, 3046, 3273

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【Time Frame】1H

Trend: The 1-hour chart has formed a bearish pattern, with short-term overselling, MACD continuing downward, -DI leading and ADX > 20, showing a clear bearish structure.

🔻 Short Position Information:

🛑 Move Stop Loss: 2618 (turns bullish if broken)

🟢 Medium-risk Add Short: 2555, 2583 (major resistance), 2591 (final resistance)

🚨 Breakout Follow Short: 2453

🎯 Take Profit: 2428, 2272, 2116

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【Strategy Summary】

⚠️ Operation Suggestions:

1. Short-term traders can short in batches in the 2533–2593 range on the 4H–1H charts, with a stop loss set at 2681, targeting first at 2453, 2436, confirming a break before pressing down to 2313.

2. For daily bullish setups, traders can enter in batches at the 2381–2420 support area, with stop loss placed below 2380, targeting first at 2880, then monitoring 3186; if the price rebounds and breaks 2681, consider reversing to long.

3. Strictly control position size and risk ratio, monitor MACD zero line and DMI crossover signals, and only add positions after a breakout following Bollinger Bands convergence and expansion, flexibly responding to both long and short opportunities.

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