Seeds sown during the crash
Often breaks ground in the spring rain of upgrades and interest rate cuts
The deep holding of ETH is not the end
But rather the next squat for takeoff.
News: A triple play of long and short competition
ETF capital outflow: US spot ETFs have seen a net outflow of $369 million for 8 consecutive days, BlackRock's reduction puts pressure.
Regulatory variables: If the SEC classifies ETH as a security (CLARITY Act) under review, it may trigger compliance selling.
Competitive pressure: Public chains like SOL are attracting capital, ETH/BTC exchange rate has dropped to a 3-year low of 0.0276.
Technical analysis: 2380-2700 is a critical battle, focus on these 3 signals
Support line: $2380-2400 is the lifeline for bulls, losing it may crash to 2200.
Resistance ceiling: $2700 is the bearish stronghold, a breakout requires a daily trading volume of $20 billion+.
Indicator alert:
MACD golden cross failed, daily structure is weak, must hold above 2520 to repair the downtrend;
4-hour Bollinger Bands are extremely expanded, price is close to the upper band, beware of a trap for the bullish.
Unwinding strategy: A guide to breaking out of cost levels
Emergency response plan for holding cost, target to reduce cost/profit >2600 chasing highs
Reduce positions by 30% near 2600, buy back at 2400 for swing trading; remaining positions staked for yield to hedge against floating losses, bottom fishing group 37 days to reduce cost by 5% from 1800-2100
Take profit at 2600 for 30%, transfer profits to BTC or L2 tokens;
Move stop loss to 2470, lock in profits + diversify risk > 3000 deep holders
Add positions every 10% drop (2520→2268→2041), press cost down to below 2400;
Dual currency wealth management: Sell ETH high to reap premiums, ladder down costs + hedge against crashes, operators wash the market to kill oscillating chips - if you believe ETH is the artery of DeFi, then squatting now is a buildup for the surge to 3000+ after Pectra upgrade!
